The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yanbian Longding 32.2%
Draw 30.8%
Shenzhen Juniors 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
27.6%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
26.3%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanbian Longding's form might have worsened.
Shenzhen Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanbian Longding, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yanbian Longding - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kou Jiahao (G) 19. Duan Dezhi 33. Hu Ziqian 15. Xu Jizu 20. Jin Taiyan 14. Cui Taixu 17. Piao Shihao (C) 5. Domingos J. 23. Wang Zihao 4. Nunez V. 30. Huang Zhenfei
23. Cheng Yuelei (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 20. Dugalic R. (C) 24. Leung Nok-Hang 32. Zhu G. 33. Zhao Yingjie 28. Liu Xiaolong 37. Shang Yin 25. Rodrigo Henrique 18. Shi Yucheng 38. Nouble J.
Substitutes
11. Chen Keqiang 2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 32. Huang Z. 7. Li Shibin 6. Li Ximin 28. Pan Xuanyu 45. Qu Yanheng 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 16. Xu Wenguang 29. Yang Erhai 9. Zong Xuanyu
31. Chen Zirong (G) 30. Gan Xianhao 14. Huang Jiajun 17. Hu Ming 29. Lin Zefeng 41. Liu Haoran (G) 19. Su Yuliang 22. Yuan B. 27. Zhao S. 39. Zheng Zhiming 16. Zhou Xin
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung
Pirri D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Piao Shihao 🟨,
30', Jin Taiyan 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Nouble J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wang Zihao ↓, Li Shibin ↑,
46', Cui Taixu ↓, Qu Yanheng ↑,
54', Shi Yucheng 🟨,
61', Jin Taiyan ↓, Chen Keqiang ↑,
76', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Gan Xianhao ↑,
78', Liu Xiaolong ↓, Zhou Xin ↑,
80', Li Shibin 🟨,
80', Zhu G. 🟨,
86', Nouble J. ↓, Yuan B. ↑,
86', Zhu G. ↓, Su Yuliang ↑,
86', Duan Dezhi ↓, Xu Wenguang ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).
Yanbian Longding is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shenzhen Juniors has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Shenzhen Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Yanbian Longding has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Yanbian Longding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.