Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 12

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Shabana		Talanta

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.9	3.55
	2	2.87	3.87
	2.05	2.95	3.84	Watch
	2.75	2.6	2.75
	2.04	2.94	3.74
	2.12	2.9	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.64)	2.86 ↑ (2.69)	3.55 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabana
42.1%

Draw
32.1%

Talanta
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

33.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shabana's performance.

Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shabana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Shabana - Talanta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Michira B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Michira B. ⚽,

Last Results with these Odds

Talanta - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 31.99%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
04.12.24	Shabana - Posta Rangers	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Shabana - AFC Leopards	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Muranga Seal - Shabana	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Shabana - Police FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TLWWW
- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
04.12.24	Talanta - Gor Mahia	2:3 ✺
30.11.24	Talanta - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	Talanta - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
22.11.24	Kenya CB - Talanta	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Talanta - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.05.24	Shabana - Talanta	1:1
01.09.23	Talanta - Shabana	1:1

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