Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 1

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Talanta		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	4.38	3.05	1.71
	4.97	3.25	1.73	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.85
	4.65	3.39	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.64)	3.25 ↑ (3.16)	1.75 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talanta
20.4%

Draw
27.9%

Gor Mahia
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

29%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

28.2%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gor Mahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Talanta - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Owino S. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Osoro E. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Odhiambo A. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, Ochieng C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Talanta won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gor Mahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gor Mahia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Talanta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Talanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
30.11.24	Talanta - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	Talanta - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
22.11.24	Kenya CB - Talanta	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Talanta - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Mathare United - Talanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLTL
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
30.11.24	Mara Sugar - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Bandari - Gor Mahia	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Gor Mahia - Muranga Seal	2:2 ✺
28.10.24	Nairobi City Stars - Gor Mahia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
19.06.24	Gor Mahia - Talanta	2:4
17.12.23	Talanta - Gor Mahia	0:2
26.04.23	Talanta - Gor Mahia	1:2
26.01.23	Gor Mahia - Talanta	3:0
16.01.22	Gor Mahia - Talanta	2:0

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