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Current Win Probability
Shakhtar Donetsk 49.1%
Draw 25.3%
Beşiktaş 25.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.5%
27%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
24.8%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
18.5%
14.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk - Beşiktaş Predictions
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 36 - 70.6%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 8 - 15.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 58.1% – 83.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Beşiktaş (votes: 3 - 10%). Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 47 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 33 - 70.2%). Beşiktaş (votes: 9 - 19.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 10.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Henrique P. 6. Marlon Gomes 30. Alisson 27. Ocheretko O. 38. Pedrinho 11. Kevin 19. Kaua Elias
1. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 3. Gabriel Paulista 14. Uduokhai F. 53. Topcu E. 5. Tiknaz D. E. 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 18. Joao Mario 27. Rafa Silva 23. Muci E. 9. Abraham T.
Substitutes
16. Azarovi I. 21. Bondarenko A. 7. Eguinaldo 23. Fesyun K. (G) 18. Ghram A. 12. Gocholeishvili G. 26. Konoplya Y. 29. Nazaryna Y. 39. Newerton 9. Shved M. 10. Sudakov G. 2. Traore L.
11. Arroyo K. 75. Bingol T. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 6. Hadziahmetovic A. 39. Jurasek D. 90. Kilicsoy S. 10. Kokcu O. 7. Rashica M. 24. Sanuc T. T. 79. Terzi E. 8. Ucan S. 20. Uysal N.
Coaches
Turan A.
Solskjaer O. G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kevin ⚽, Kaua Elias (A),
16', Tiknaz D. E. 🟨,
37', Matviienko M. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Kaua Elias ⚽, Tobias V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
57', Kevin ↓, Newerton ↑,
57', Marlon Gomes ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
60', Pedrinho 🟨,
64', Kaua Elias ↓, Traore L. ↑,
65', Abraham T. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
65', Pedrinho ↓, Sudakov G. ↑,
70', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
71', Gabriel Paulista 🟨,
71', Tobias V. 🟨,
72', Bondar V. 🟨,
78', Kayra Yilmaz K. ↓, Bingol T. ↑,
79', Topcu E. 🟨,
81', Tobias V. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
88', Joao Mario ↓, Uysal N. ↑,
88', Muci E. ↓, Jurasek D. ↑,
90+2', Alisson 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 4-2. 2nd leg. Neutral location - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
Shakhtar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Beşiktaş is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Shakhtar might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
Croatia
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United Kingdom
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Riznyk D. (G) 
Tobias V. 
Gunok M. (C) 
Svensson J. 
Uduokhai F. 
Joao Mario 
Muci E. 
Abraham T. 
Azarovi I. 
Ghram A. 
Traore L. 
Arroyo K. 
Hadziahmetovic A. 
Jurasek D. 
Rashica M. 
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