Match Info
Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finalsDate: 10 July 2025, ThursdayLocation: Stadion Stoลพice (Ljubljana)Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | Ilves TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
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Shakhtar Donetsk |
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Ilves |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.17 |
6 |
13 |
 Watch |
 |
1.2 |
6.75 |
15 |
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 |
1.16 |
6.4 |
16.5 |
Watch |
 |
1.18 |
5.9 |
21.76 |
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Watch |
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1.18 |
6.5 |
13 |
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 |
1.18 |
7.1 |
17 |
Watch |
 |
1.17 |
7 |
14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↓
(1.3) |
6.52 ↑
(5.5) |
15.75 ↑
(10.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Shakhtar Donetsk
79.7% | Draw
14.4% | Ilves
6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shakhtar Donetsk's performance.Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 26 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 83.4% โ 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Ilves (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2 - Shakhtar (1.99) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.75 - Ilves (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Ilves (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
31.  Riznyk D. (G)
26. Konoplya Y.
5. Bondar V.
22. Matviienko M. (C)
13.  Henrique P.
6. Marlon Gomes
30. Alisson
21. Bondarenko A.
10. Sudakov G.
11. Kevin
19. Kaua Elias
| 1.  Virtanen O. (C)
22. Maenpaa A.
5. Vaisanen S.
3. Rale M.
13. Wallius K.
14. Popovitch A.
7. Veteli J.
19. Jukkola O.
17. Soderback M.
10. Riski Ro.
8. Stjopin M.
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| Substitutes |
16.  Azarovi I.
34. Bahlai R. (G)
7. Eguinaldo
23. Fesyun K. (G)
18.  Ghram A.
29. Nazaryna Y.
39. Newerton
27. Ocheretko O.
38. Pedrinho
9. Shved M.
17. Tobias V.
2.  Traore L.
| 27.  Akinyemi A.
15. Ala-Myllymaki L.
42. Aspegren F.
9. Hytonen T.
30.  Kanga J.
12.  Krkalic F. (G)
16. Miettunen T.
18. Ulundu V.
32. Vayrynen L. (G)
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| Coaches |
 Turan A.
| Rantanen J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Alisson ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Kaua Elias ⚽, Alisson (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 47', 3 - 0, Alisson ⚽,
- 58', Sudakov G. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
- 58', Bondarenko A. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 63', Stjopin M. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
- 63', Wallius K. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
- 72', Konoplya Y. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
- 72', Kaua Elias ↓, Newerton ↑,
- 74', 4 - 0, Kevin ⚽, Alisson (A),
- 78', Veteli J. ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
- 78', Riski Ro. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 85', Marlon Gomes ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
- 87', 5 - 0, Pedrinho ⚽, Alisson (A),
- 89', 6 - 0, Newerton ⚽,
Preview
1st leg. Neutral location - Stadion Stoลพice.Right now, both teams are showing solid form.Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Shakhtar is the obvious favorite. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
