Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Dnipro-1

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	6.25
	1.6	3.75	5.5
	1.61	3.65	6.37
	1.62	3.65	6.37
	1.5	3.6	5.8
	1.59	3.65	5.9	Watch
	1.57	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)	3.66 ↓ (4.1)	6 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
59%

Draw
25.4%

Dnipro-1
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

23.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

22.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Dnipro-1 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dnipro-1 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dnipro-1 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Dnipro 1 Predictions

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 5. Bondar V. 44. Rakitskyi Y. 22. Matviienko M. 6. Stepanenko T. (C) 11. Zubkov O. 8. Kryskiv D. 10. Sudakov G. 39. Newerton 14. Sikan D.	1. Volynets Y. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 39. Svatok O. (C) 5. Sarapiy E. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 18. Babenko R. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 9. Gutsulyak O. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 17. Lednev B. 7. Filippov O.
Substitutes
16. Azarovi I. 4. Castillo D. 19. Chygrynskiy D. 7. Eguinaldo 13. Gocholeishvili G. 90. Kashchuk O. 18. Kelsy K. 25. Miroshi N. 29. Nazaryna Y. 1. Rudko A. (G) 9. Shved M. 20. Topalov D.	20. Gorbunov S. 26. Kapliyenko O. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 30. Kravets V. 28. Marquinhos 42. Pasich Y. 4. Purita E. 19. Vitinho 33. Yurchuk V. (G)
Coaches
Pusic M.	Maksymov Y.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 4.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Dnipro-1 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dnipro-1 have a series of guest games.

In this match Shakhtar is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shakhtar to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhtar won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
UEFA Champions League
07.11.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Barcelona	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
03.11.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Barcelona - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
21.10.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWWLW
- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
06.11.23	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Rukh Lviv - Dnipro-1	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Kryvbas - Dnipro-1	3:0 ✺
25.10.23	Vorskla Poltava - Dnipro-1	2:3 ✺
22.10.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
28.05.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dnipro-1	3:0
19.11.22	Dnipro-1 - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1
11.09.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dnipro-1	2:0
01.05.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dnipro-1	2:1
28.11.20	Dnipro-1 - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1
04.03.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dnipro-1	4:1
06.10.19	Dnipro-1 - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2

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