Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	VIX App


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5
	1.88	3.25	4.25
	1.91	3.4	5
	1.77	3.83	4.89	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.54	5.06
	1.73	3.33	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.51)	3.45 ↓ (4.43)	4.82 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
52.7%

Draw
27.6%

Rijeka
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.2%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

20.7%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shakhtar Donetsk's form might have worsened.

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54%	8%	38%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 26 - 53.1%). Rijeka will win (votes: 19 - 38.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 39.1% – 67.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Rijeka (votes: 10 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Rijeka (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Rijeka (2.95) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Shakhtar (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Rijeka (votes: 17 - 65.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Fesyun K. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Henrique P. 29. Nazaryna Y. 10. Pedrinho 27. Ocheretko O. 6. Marlon Gomes 11. Newerton 7. Eguinaldo	13. Zlomislic M. (C) 22. Orec A. 51. Husic A. 6. Radeljic S. 34. Devetak M. 19. Vignato S. 26. Dantas T. 20. Ndockyt M. 17. Menalo L. 10. Fruk T. 18. Adu Adjei D.
Substitutes
16. Azarovi I. 21. Bondarenko A. 74. Faryna M. 18. Ghram A. 14. Isaque Silva 19. Kaua Elias 26. Konoplya Y. 8. Kryskiv D. 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 9. Shved M. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)	91. Bodetic N. 30. Bogojevic B. 27. Butic S. 9. Cop D. 4. Jankovic N. 77. Juric A. 2. Kitin L. 1. Kovac V. (G) 23. Lasickas J. 72. Skalamera F. 99. Todorovic A. (G)
Coaches
Turan A.	Sanchez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Marlon Gomes ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Bondar V. 🟨,
55', Orec A. 🟨,
59', Orec A. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
66', Menalo L. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
66', Vignato S. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
72', Radeljic S. 🟨,
83', Fruk T. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
83', Ndockyt M. ↓, Jankovic N. ↑,
84', Newerton ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
89', Eguinaldo ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
89', Pedrinho ↓, Kryskiv D. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Shakhtar is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Khromey M. (Inactive) Kornienko V. (Inactive) Petryak I. (Inactive) Savchenko R. (Inactive) Topalov D. (Inactive) Traore L. (International duty) Udod D. (Injury)

There will not play in Rijeka: Kreilach D. (Injury) Petrovic D. (Yellow Cards) Skoric M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shakhtar: Marlon (Injury)

There are questionable in Rijeka: Ilinkovic S. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
14.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Hamrun Spartans - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
06.12.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWTTW
- HNK Rijeka
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Rijeka - Celje	3:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
06.12.25	Rijeka - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
03.12.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Rijeka	1:4 ✺
Croatian HNL
30.11.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Rijeka - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWTT

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