Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)

Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	OneFootball TV


	Shakhtar Donetsk		LNZ Cherkasy

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.00	7.50
	1.55	3.45	6.1
	1.62	3.55	6.91
	1.49	4.21	8.08	Watch
	1.6	3.25	6.8
	1.59	3.64	5.98	Watch
	1.58	3.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 (1.56)	3.64 ↓ (4.09)	6.74 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
60.3%

Draw
25.8%

LNZ Cherkasy
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

23.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.6%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

LNZ Cherkasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matvienko M. (C) 13. Pedro Henrique 27. Pushkaryov O. 30. Alisson 6. Marlon Gomes 14. Isaque Silva 77. Mendoza G. 2. Traore L.	1. Ledviy D. (G) 11. Pasich G. 34. Muravskyi N. (C) 29. Didyk R. 14. Drambayev O. 17. Kuzyk D. 16. Ryabov A. 8. Yakubu A. 37. Yade P. 10. Jashari M. 19. Pastukh Y.
Substitutes
9. Kaua Elias 8. Kryskiv D. 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 4. Marlon 29. Nazaryna Y. 11. Newerton 68. Obah P. 10. Pedrinho 17. Tobias V. 24. Tsukanov V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)	90. Assinor M. 77. Cara T. 4. Dajko A. 99. David C. 75. Kitela A. 7. Mykytyshyn A. 12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 93. Roman V. 72. Samoylenko K. (G) 92. Slyubyk B. 30. Talles Brener 9. Tverdokhlib Y.
Coaches
Turan A.	Ponomaryov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Muravskyi N. 🟥,
28', Yade P. ↓, Dajko A. ↑,
33', Alisson 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Mendoza G. ↓, Newerton ↑,
56', Alisson ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Pedrinho ⚽, Traore L. (A),
67', Yakubu A. ↓, Assinor M. ↑,
68', Ledviy D. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Newerton (Penalty Awarded),
73', Karavaev O. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
73', Traore L. ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
74', Turan A. 🟨,
77', Jashari M. ↓, Slyubyk B. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Isaque Silva ⚽, Pedro Henrique (A),
87', Isaque Silva ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 2.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Shakhtar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Shakhtar is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:9 (averaging 2.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shakhtar against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:5 goals (averaging 3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	15:4	11	18
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	5:8	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.26	Vilkhivtsi - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
05.09.26	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWL
- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
12.09.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Obolon	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Kyiv - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Veres Rivne	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
13.04.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2
Club Friendly
10.02.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0
Ukrainian Premier League
05.10.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	1:4
11.04.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:4
06.10.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	5:1
27.04.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3
21.10.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	3:0

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