Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)

Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.90	5.75
	1.78	3.4	4.2
	1.77	3.41	5.04
	1.75	3.63	5.15	Watch
	1.69	3.4	5.15
	1.77	3.44	4.68	Watch
	1.71	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.76)	3.5 ↓ (3.56)	4.94 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
54.4%

Draw
26.7%

Polissya Zhytomyr
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 18. Ghram A. 5. Bondar V. (C) 13. Pedro Henrique 6. Marlon 27. Ocheretko O. 14. Isaque Silva 11. Newerton 9. Kaua Elias 77. Mendoza G.	1. Kudryk O. (G) 4. Kravchenko M. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. (C) 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 22. Araujo A. 11. Leandro Andrade 14. Emerllahu L. 27. Fedor O. 7. Nazarenko O. 95. Krasnopir I.
Substitutes
30. Alisson 16. Azarovi I. 99. Bruninho 25. Gabriel Carvalho 20. Karavaev O. 8. Kryskiv D. 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 22. Matvienko M. 29. Nazaryna Y. 68. Obah P. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)	18. Andriyevski O. 8. Babenko R. 45. Bragaru M. 77. Bushchan G. (G) 12. Drobot A. (G) 9. Filippov O. 89. Gayduchyk M. 94. Gryshkevych D. 16. Krasniqi I. 31. Maisuradze G. 19. Shepelev V. 10. Veleten V.
Coaches
Turan A.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Nazarenko O. ⚽, Leandro Andrade (A),
36', Emerllahu L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pedro Henrique ↓, Azarovi I. ↑,
46', Ocheretko O. ↓, Kryskiv D. ↑,
55', Kravchenko M. 🟨,
59', Emerllahu L. ↓, Andriyevski O. ↑,
59', Kravchenko M. ↓, Maisuradze G. ↑,
62', Isaque Silva ↓, Matvienko M. ↑,
62', Mendoza G. ↓, Alisson ↑,
68', Leandro Andrade ↓, Babenko R. ↑,
68', Fedor O. ↓, Bragaru M. ↑,
72', Mykhaylichenko B. 🟨,
74', 0 - 2, Andriyevski O. ⚽,
79', Newerton ↓, Karavaev O. ↑,
87', Krasnopir I. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 2.

Shakhtar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Polissya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.

We predict that Shakhtar will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Shakhtar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	7	6	0	1	15:5	10	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	15:4	11	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
16.08.26	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kudrivka	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.26	Bursaspor - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Al-Ula	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWTT
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.26	Copenhagen - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Copenhagen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
20.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:0
18.10.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0
Ukrainian Cup
23.04.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ET
Ukrainian Premier League
15.12.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0
11.08.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1
25.05.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:0
24.11.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:0

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