Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Shamakhi City Stadium (Shamakhi)

Referee: Hasanli V. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Shamakhi		İmişli

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.23	2.96	3.2
	2.35	3.05	2.99	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.34	3.02	3.23	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.11)	2.94 ↓ (2.99)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamakhi
40.1%

Draw
31.2%

İmişli
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (-3%)

Shamakhi - İmişli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Shamakhi (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamakhi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Fernandes (C) 82. Abbasov R. 7. Adilkhanov E. 13. Apolinario R. 4. Cezar 44. David Santos 8. Msanga A. 9. Rossi K. 2. Rzayev A. 10. Tircoveanu A. 3. Veremeev V.	33. Sinenko A. (G) 29. Banguera E. 23. Diogo Rollo 9. Dos Santos D. 5. Inqilably I. 7. Juninho 10. Karaklajic N. 17. Morgan E. 14. Ronaldo 19. Salahly A. (C) 94. Viegas R.
Substitutes
11. Balau D. 21. Ismayilov B. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Maharramli R. 97. Mammadov O. 90. Mansumov D. 77. Mehraliyev N. 48. Muradov R. 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 19. Shuaibu A. 27. Suleymanov E.	21. Agazada A. 79. Cardoso D. 20. Huseynov N. 44. Isayev H. 97. Mahmudov K. 30. Mursalli K. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 3. Yusifli T.
Coaches
Abbasov A.	Casquilha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
36', Msanga A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Msanga A. ↓, Mammadov O. ↑,
60', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
61', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Balau D. ↑,
62', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
66', Inqilably I. ↓, Agazada A. ↑,
66', Karaklajic N. ↓, Cardoso D. ↑,
78', Ronaldo 🟨,
89', Tircoveanu A. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
89', Rzayev A. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

İmişli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shamakhi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 0.8:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shamakhi	6	2	3	1	8:6	2	9
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Cup
04.03.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
28.02.26	Shamakhi - Neftchi Baku	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Shamakhi - Turan Tovuz	0:0 ✺
10.02.26	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTTL
- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.03.26	Turan Tovuz - İmişli	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	İmişli - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	İmişli - Kapaz	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Gabala - İmişli	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
22.02.26	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0
07.11.25	Shamakhi - İmişli	1:0
Azerbaijan First Division
29.03.24	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0
14.12.23	Shamakhi - İmişli	0:0
28.09.23	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:3

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