Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Musial T. (Pol)


	Shamrock Rovers		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.65	3.45	2
	3.5	3.5	1.99
	3.64	3.56	1.96
	3.72	3.66	1.93	Watch
	3.65	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.84)	3.58 ↑ (3.36)	1.96 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
26.2%

Draw
26.1%

Ferencvárosi
47.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.2%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.1%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamrock Rovers's form might have worsened.

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	14.3%	64.3%

Shamrock Rovers - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Pohls L. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 3. Hoare S. 2. Gannon S. 34. Noonan C. 19. Poom M. 16. O'Neill G. 31. Cruise K. 24. Kenny J. 10. Burke G.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 3. Mmaee S. 27. Cisse I. 99. Ramirez C. 18. Siger D. 7. Ben Romdhane M. 20. Traore A. 16. Zachariassen K. 50. Marquinhos 19. Varga B.
Substitutes
27. Burt L. 8. Finn R. 9. Greene A. 11. Kavanagh S. 30. Leitis T. (G) 33. Lennox C. 1. Mannus A. (G) 39. Razi N. 28. Tetteh G. 17. Towell R. 7. Watts D.	30. Barath P. 13. Esiti A. 55. Katona B. 4. Knoester M. 76. Lisztes K. 10. Nguen T. C. 62. Ori L. (G) 11. Owusu 23. Paszka L. 1. Varga A. (G)
Coaches
Bradley S.	Mate C.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.

Shamrock has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shamrock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shamrock have a series of guest games.

Ferencvárosi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shamrock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Shamrock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Ferencvárosi - Shamrock Rovers	4:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
23.07.23	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Breiðablik - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Shamrock Rovers - Breiðablik	0:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
07.07.23	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Ferencvárosi - Shamrock Rovers	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.23	Ferencvárosi - KÍ Klaksvík	0:3 ✺
11.07.23	KÍ Klaksvík - Ferencvárosi	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.23	Botoșani - Ferencvárosi	0:3 ✺
30.06.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Ferencvárosi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Ferencvárosi - Shamrock Rovers	4:0
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Shamrock Rovers - Ferencvárosi	1:0
18.08.22	Ferencvárosi - Shamrock Rovers	4:0

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