Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Sardar Azadegan Stadium (Qazvin)


	Shams Azar Qazvin		Nassaji Mazandaran

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.5
	1.95	3	4.2
	1.96	2.82	4.55
	1.95	2.87	4.39	Watch
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.99	3.33	4.06	Watch
	1.95	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.19)	3 ↓ (3.13)	4.11 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shams Azar Qazvin
46.8%

Draw
30.8%

Nassaji Mazandaran
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Nassaji Mazandaran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nassaji Mazandaran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Shams Azar Qazvin - Nassaji Mazandaran Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Nassaji will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rezaei A. (G) 33. Rabizadeh H. 34. Fakhreddini M. 19. Akbari I. 11. Fakhrian M. 2. Sedghi A. 66. Azadeh M. 7. Nesaei A. 70. Panahi A. 23. Alousabih S. 77. Azadmanesh A.	27. Luan Polli (G) 30. Yamga K. 68. Houshmand A. 4. Janmaleki A. 55. Seifi M. 88. Nemati S. 5. Samdaliri A. 11. Rezaei M. 6. Bagheri M. 14. Pakdel H. 10. Zamehran H.
Substitutes
53. Amiri O. (G) 26. Din Mohammadi A. . Kalivand A. 20. Komar N. 29. Mansouri M. 6. Rafiei M. 17. Vaziri A. 18. Zavoshi F. 8. Zebarjad K.	2. Aghaei S. 17. Ghaed Rahmati M. 89. Jolodar N. A. 9. Miah M. 3. Mohammadzadeh V. . Mohammed M. 98. Rezaei A. (G) 18. Rezaei M. 76. Reza Hosseini S. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Sedghi A. 🟥,
39', Nemati S. 🟨,
39', Aghaei S. 🟨,
39', Nemati S. 🟨,
42', Seifi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Pakdel H. ↓, Reza Hosseini S. M. ↑,
70', Fakhreddini M. ↓, Zebarjad K. ↑,
76', 🟨,
80', Reza Hosseini S. M. 🟨,
83', Panahi A. ↓, Vaziri A. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 14).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Shams Azar Qazvin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
20.09.24	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:2 ✺
30.08.24	Sepahan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Chadormalou Ardakan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Pro League
20.09.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Esteghlal	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Chadormalou Ardakan - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0 ✺
30.08.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
22.08.24	Aluminium Arak - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Foolad Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
13.03.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0
14.12.23	Shams Azar Qazvin - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:1

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