Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Jinan)

Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Shandong Taishan		Johor Darul Takzim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.7	2
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.43	3.95	2.02
	3.35	3.91	1.96	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.91
	3.52	3.64	2.03	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.36)	3.76 ↑ (3.53)	1.97 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Taishan
27.7%

Draw
24.9%

Johor Darul Takzim
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

26.4%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

25.8%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Shandong Taishan - Johor Darul Takzim Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Johor will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Johor: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Wang Dalei (C) 21. Liu Binbin 31. Zhao Jianfei 3. Marcel Scalese 11. Liu Yang 23. Xie Wenneng 22. LI Yuanyi 35. Huang Zhengyu 30. Abudulam Abdursul 29. Chen Pu 24. Bi Jinhao	58. Zubiaurre A. (G) 24. Arribas O. 23. Israfilov E. 13. Park J. 11. Murilo 18. Undabarrena I. 14. Lowry S. 42. Aiman A. 30. Insa N. 20. Muniz J. 99. Obregon J.
Substitutes
9. Cryzan 8. Delgado P. 33. Gao Zhunyi 26. Liu Shibo (G) 25. Peng Xinli 10. Qazaishvili V. 27. Shi Ke 2. Tong Lei 17. Wu Xinghan 19. Zeca 13. Zhang Chi 5. Zheng Zheng	5. Amat J. 9. Bergson 22. Corbin-Ong L. 21. Faiz N. 4. Fazail A. 41. Hadi A. 16. Hazmi S. (G) 37. Heberty 33. Jese 19. Morales R. 3. Saad S. 26. Sumareh M.
Coaches
Tang T.	Bidoglio H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Undabarrena I. 🟨,
24', Muniz J. 🟨,
32', Zhang Chi 🟨,
45+1', Insa N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Xie Wenneng ↓, Cryzan ↑,
46', Abudulam Abdursul ↓, Wu Xinghan ↑,
46', Liu Yang ↓, Zeca ↑,
50', LI Yuanyi 🟨,
51', Obregon J. ↓, Bergson ↑,
60', Bi Jinhao ↓, Qazaishvili V. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Zeca ⚽, Cryzan (A),
74', Muniz J. ↓, Heberty ↑,
84', LI Yuanyi ↓, Gao Zhunyi ↑,
87', Zeca 🟨,
87', Cryzan 🟨,
89', Undabarrena I. ↓, Fazail A. ↑,
90', Wu Xinghan 🟨,
90+10', Israfilov E. 🟨,
90+10', Liu Binbin 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Shandong Taishan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Johor in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shandong Taishan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Johor have a series of guest games.

Johor will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shandong Taishan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Shandong Taishan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Taishan
Chinese FA Cup
23.11.24	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Port	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.24	Pohang Steelers - Shandong Taishan	4:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
02.11.24	Shandong Taishan - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Zhejiang Professional - Shandong Taishan	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.24	Shandong Taishan - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTT
- Johor Darul Takzim FC
Malaysian Cup
20.11.24	Kuala Lumpur Rovers - Johor Darul Takzim	0:3 ✺
Malaysian Super League
10.11.24	Perak FA - Johor Darul Takzim	0:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Johor Darul Takzim - Ulsan HD	3:0 ✺
Malaysian Super League
01.11.24	Negeri Sembilan - Johor Darul Takzim	0:4 ✺
27.10.24	Selangor FA - Johor Darul Takzim	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
24.04.19	Johor Darul Takzim - Shandong Taishan	0:1
09.04.19	Shandong Taishan - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1

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