Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Jinan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Lithuania	Sport 1
Montenegro	SportKlub 1, SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Shandong Taishan		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.9	2
	3.25	3.75	2	Watch
	3.27	4.16	2.04
	3.15	4.08	1.99	Watch
	3.1	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.31	3.9	2.03	Watch
	3.25	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.92)	3.9 ↑ (3.75)	2 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Taishan
29.1%

Draw
24%

Yokohama F. Marinos
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

24.3%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

23.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	41.7%	58.3%

Shandong Taishan - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Wang Dalei (C) 33. Gao Zhunyi 3. Marcel Scalese 5. Zheng Zheng 11. Liu Yang 17. Wu Xinghan 22. LI Yuanyi 20. Liao Lisheng 19. Zeca 9. Cryzan 10. Qazaishvili V.	21. Iikura H. (G) 13. Koike R. (C) 5. Eduardo 15. Kamijima T. 16. Kato R. 24. Kato H. 28. Yamane R. 11. Yan 14. Uenaka A. 17. Inoue K. 10. Anderson Lopes
Substitutes
24. Bi Jinhao 29. Chen Pu 8. Delgado P. 35. Huang Zhengyu 21. Liu Binbin 26. Liu Shibo (G) 25. Peng Xinli 27. Shi Ke 2. Tong Lei 6. Wang Tong 23. Xie Wenneng 13. Zhang Chi	20. Amano J. 49. Homma J. 42. Kohei M. 27. Matsubara K. 23. Miyaichi R. 18. Mizunuma K. 2. Nagato K. 35. Sakakibara K. 31. Shirasaki F. (G) 41. Terakado R. (G) 6. Watanabe K.
Coaches
Choi Kang-Hee	Hutchinson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Cryzan 🟨,
23', Koike R. 🟨,
37', Liu Yang 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Cryzan ⚽, Zeca (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Anderson Lopes ⚽, Eduardo (A),
63', Wu Xinghan ↓, Liu Binbin ↑,
63', Liao Lisheng ↓, Peng Xinli ↑,
65', Liu Binbin 🟨,
67', Inoue K. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
67', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
77', Koike R. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
77', Kato H. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
79', Zeca ↓, Xie Wenneng ↑,
79', Gao Zhunyi ↓, Shi Ke ↑,
83', Amano J. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Yan ⚽, Kato R. (A),
90+2', Yan ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Zheng Zheng ⚽,

Preview

Shandong Taishan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Yokohama FM is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shandong Taishan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yokohama FM will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Shandong Taishan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Shandong Taishan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
18.10.24	Shandong Taishan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Shandong Taishan	2:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
28.09.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan	1:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
24.09.24	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
21.09.24	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWWT
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
18.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.10.24	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus	1:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
05.10.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Ulsan HD	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
13.03.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shandong Taishan	1:0
06.03.24	Shandong Taishan - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2
13.12.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shandong Taishan	3:0
03.10.23	Shandong Taishan - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1

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