Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pohang Steel Yard (Pohang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Pohang Steelers		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.2	5.25
	1.52	4.33	5.5
	1.53	4.59	5.34
	1.54	4.16	5.72
	1.5	4.2	5.5
	1.56	4.4	5.45	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	4.32 ↑ (4.28)	5.47 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohang Steelers
61.1%

Draw
21.7%

Shandong Taishan
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

21.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	22.2%	5.6%

Pohang Steelers - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Pohang will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pohang: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yun Pyeong-guk (G) 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 5. Aspropotamitis J. 4. Jeon Min-kwang 26. Lee Tae-Seok 77. Wanderson (C) 6. Kim Jong-Woo 8. Oberdan 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 37. Hong Yoon-Sang 9. Jorge Luiz	14. Wang Dalei (C) 2. Tong Lei 3. Marcel Scalese 5. Zheng Zheng 33. Gao Zhunyi 35. Huang Zhengyu 29. Chen Pu 25. Peng Xinli 22. LI Yuanyi 21. Liu Binbin 19. Zeca
Substitutes
55. Choi Hyeon-Woong 2. Eo Jeong-Won 21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 11. Jo Seong-Jun 18. Kang Hyeon-Je 88. Kim Dong Jin 22. Kim Gyu-Hyeong 7. Kim In-Sung 89. Kim M. 34. Lee Gyu-Baeg 19. Yoon Min-ho 13. Yoon Seok-Joo	30. Abudulam Abdursul 24. Bi Jinhao 9. Cryzan 8. Delgado P. 20. Liao Lisheng 26. Liu Shibo (G) 11. Liu Yang 10. Qazaishvili V. 27. Shi Ke 17. Wu Xinghan 23. Xie Wenneng 13. Zhang Chi
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha	Tang T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Tong Lei 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Jeong Jae-Hee ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Chen Pu ⚽, Gao Zhunyi (A),
41', Gao Zhunyi ↓, Liu Yang ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Liu Binbin ↓, Bi Jinhao ↑,
46', LI Yuanyi ↓, Qazaishvili V. ↑,
55', Zheng Zheng 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Jorge Luiz ⚽, Oberdan (A),
67', Chen Pu ↓, Xie Wenneng ↑,
67', Huang Zhengyu ↓, Liao Lisheng ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Wanderson ⚽, Jorge Luiz (A),
70', Hong Yoon-Sang ↓, Kim M. ↑,
70', Kim Jong-Woo ↓, Yoon Seok-Joo ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Oberdan ⚽, Wanderson (A),
79', Shin Kwang-Hoon ↓, Eo Jeong-Won ↑,
79', Jeong Jae-Hee ↓, Kim Gyu-Hyeong ↑,
83', Liao Lisheng 🟨,
86', Oberdan ↓, Kim Dong Jin ↑,
90+4', 4 - 2, Bi Jinhao ⚽, Zeca (A),
90+5', Yun Pyeong-guk 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Pohang is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shandong Taishan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Pohang is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pohang won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Pohang won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
02.11.24	FC Seoul - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.24	Buriram United - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.24	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLTT
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
02.11.24	Shandong Taishan - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Zhejiang Professional - Shandong Taishan	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.24	Shandong Taishan - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
18.10.24	Shandong Taishan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Shandong Taishan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
02.04.14	Shandong Taishan - Pohang Steelers	2:4
18.03.14	Pohang Steelers - Shandong Taishan	2:2

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