Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai)

Referee: Choi H. (Kor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play, K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 1 Baltic, Sport 24


	Shanghai Port		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	4.05	1.6	Watch
	4.70	4.19	1.60	Watch
				Watch
	4.62	4.02	1.7	Watch
	4.23	3.51	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (2.91)	3.94 ↑ (3.38)	1.69 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Port
20.6%

Draw
23.9%

Vissel Kobe
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

29.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vissel Kobe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Shanghai Port - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shanghai Port will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai Port (votes: 3 - 60%). Vissel Kobe (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Shanghai Port (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Vissel Kobe (2.07) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai Port (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Vissel Kobe (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chen Wei (G) 40. Yusup Umidjan 13. Wei Zhen 3. Browning Tyias (C) 15. Ming Tian 23. Fu Huan 22. Matheus Jussa 10. Mateus Vital 21. Melendo O. 14. Li Shenglong 9. Gustavo	1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 15. Honda Y. 3. Thuler 7. Ideguchi Y. 6. Ogihara T. 18. Ide H. 10. Osako Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 27. Erik
Substitutes
30. Gabrielzinho 36. Haliq Ablahan 29. Jojo A. C. 47. Kuai Jiwen 45. Leonardo 32. Li Shuai 49. Li X. 11. Lu Wenjun 4. Wang Shenchao 20. Yang Shiyuan 1. Yan Junling (G) 5. Zhang Linpeng	16. Caetano 77. Gustavo Klismahn 2. Iino N. 31. Iwanami T. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 11. Muto Y. 50. Obi P. O. (G) 32. Ubong R. (G) 30. Yamauchi K. 14. Yuruki K.
Coaches
Muscat K.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Erik ⚽, Osako Y. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Erik (A),
44', 0 - 3, Osako Y. ⚽, Sakai G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Li Shenglong ↓, Gabrielzinho ↑,
60', Fu Huan ↓, Li Shuai ↑,
60', Ming Tian ↓, Jojo A. C. ↑,
65', Erik ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
65', Honda Y. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
71', Browning Tyias ↓, Zhang Linpeng ↑,
71', Osako Y. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
72', Ide H. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
81', Melendo O. ↓, Haliq Ablahan ↑,
82', Miyashiro T. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
89', Zhang Linpeng 🟨,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Shanghai Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vissel Kobe could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Port won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
12.09.25	Shanghai Port - Yunnan Yukun	4:2 ✺
30.08.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	4:1 ✺
24.08.25	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Shanghai Port - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWW
- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
12.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
07.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
30.08.25	Vissel Kobe - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.08.25	Sagamihara - Vissel Kobe	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
11.02.25	Vissel Kobe - Shanghai Port	4:0
07.12.20	Vissel Kobe - Shanghai Port	2:0

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