The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vissel Kobe 47.4%
Draw 27.5%
Nagoya Grampus 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
27.3%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
27.1%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Vissel Kobe - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler M. 16. Caetano 5. Goke Y. 6. Ogihara T. 7. Ideguchi Y. 19. Mitsuta M. 13. Sasaki D. 41. Nagato K.
1. Schmidt D. (G) 2. Nogami Y. 13. Fujii H. 31. Takamine T. 19. Koda H. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 14. Morishima T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Substitutes
71. Gonda S. (G) 44. Hidaka M. 2. Iino N. 14. Inui T. 26. Jean Patric 11. Muto Y. 80. Nduka B. 10. Osako Y. 40. Uchino K.
9. Asano Y. 33. Kikuchi T. 44. Mori S. 18. Nagai K. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 30. Sugiura S. 17. Uchida T. 29. Yoshida H.
Coaches
Skibbe M.
Petrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Takamine T. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Sakai G. ⚽, Sasaki D. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Kimura Y. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
31', Ogihara T. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Caetano ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Morishima T. ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, Sasaki D. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
69', Koda H. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
76', Izumi R. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
77', Yamakawa T. 🟨,
79', Mitsuta M. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
79', Goke Y. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Muto Y. ⚽, Jean Patric (A),
86', Nogami Y. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
86', Morishima T. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
90+19', Maekawa D. ↓, Gonda S. ↑,
90+19', Thuler M. ↓, Nduka B. ↑,
90+20', Mori S. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Vissel Kobe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
Hirose R.
(Injury)
Muto Y.
(Surgery)
Sasaki D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Diego
(Injury)
Komatsu R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Hara T.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Vissel Kobe: 24.07% Nagoya Grampus: 0.79%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Vissel Kobe
4
2
1
1
4:3
1
7
8
Nagoya Grampus
4
2
0
2
6:5
1
6
Last Results with these Odds
Vissel Kobe - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 49.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.