Match Info

J1 League - Round 29

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Vissel Kobe		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.25
	2.35	3.3	2.82
	2.41	3.5	3.06
	2.34	3.29	3.01	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.34	3.44	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	3.35 ↑ (3.32)	3.08 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
41.2%

Draw
28.1%

Kashiwa Reysol
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

29.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 2 - 50%). Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Kashiwa (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 2 - 40%). Kashiwa (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 2. Iino N. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 15. Honda Y. 24. Sakai G. 7. Ideguchi Y. 6. Ogihara T. 9. Miyashiro T. 27. Erik 10. Osako Y. 14. Yuruki K.	25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 6. Yamada Y. 39. Nakagawa N. 14. Koyamatsu T. 8. Koizumi Y. 11. Watai M. 18. Kakita Y.
Substitutes
16. Caetano 77. Gustavo Klismahn 18. Ide H. 31. Iwanami T. 26. Jean Patric 25. Kuwasaki Y. 11. Muto Y. 50. Obi P. O. (G) 30. Yamauchi K.	88. Baba S. 3. Diego 9. Hosoya M. 16. Katayama E. 15. Komi Y. 2. Mitsumaru H. 29. Nagai K. (G) 19. Nakama H. 28. Toshima S.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
35', Yuruki K. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Harada W. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
70', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
70', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
75', Miyashiro T. ↓, Ide H. ↑,
75', Iino N. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
75', Honda Y. ↓, Iwanami T. ↑,
86', Ideguchi Y. 🟨,
86', Erik ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
86', Nakama H. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Vissel Kobe could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K. (Shoulder Injury) Kuwasaki Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J League Cup
07.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
30.08.25	Vissel Kobe - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.08.25	Sagamihara - Vissel Kobe	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
23.08.25	Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWT
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J League Cup
07.09.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol	1:4 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.08.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:2 ✺
17.08.25	Fagiano Okayama - Kashiwa Reysol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe	1:3
30.11.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe	0:1
Japan J1 League
01.03.24	Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1
19.08.23	Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1
20.05.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe	1:1
30.07.22	Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1

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