The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagamihara 14.8%
Draw 22.3%
Vissel Kobe 62.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14%
19.9%
66.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.4%
20.8%
69.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Sagamihara - Vissel Kobe Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Sagamihara (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 97. Fujinuma T. 2. Kato D. 15. Maeda T. 11. Muto Y. 28. Ogasawara K. 4. Shimakawa T. (C) 14. Takagi A. 80. Takai K. 16. Takano R. 6. Tokunaga Y.
21. Arai S. (C) 77. Gustavo Klismahn 44. Hidaka M. 15. Honda Y. 18. Ide H. 2. Iino N. 31. Iwanami T. 29. Komatsu R. 66. Matsuda R. 30. Yamauchi K. 14. Yuruki K.
Substitutes
22. Fukui K. 31. Inose K. (G) 23. Kato T. 36. Nakashio D. 27. Nishiyama T. 8. Osako R. 24. Sugimoto R. 17. Takeuchi T. 20. Yamauchi R.
16. Caetano 27. Erik 26. Jean Patric 20. Koike Y. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 50. Obi P. O. (G) 6. Ogihara T. 4. Yamakawa T.
Coaches
Stalph Y.
Yoshida T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Kato D. ⚽, Fujinuma T. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Komatsu R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hidaka M. ↓, Yamakawa T. ↑,
46', Matsuda R. ↓, Erik ↑,
64', Muto Y. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
64', Maeda T. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
65', Ide H. ↓, Miyashiro T. ↑,
65', Iino N. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
66', Shimakawa T. 🟨,
75', Ogasawara K. 🟨,
80', Yamauchi K. ↓, Ogihara T. ↑,
84', Yamakawa T. 🟨,
89', Fujinuma T. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Takagi A. ↓, Takeuchi T. ↑,
91', Komatsu R. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
95', Watahiki K. 🟨,
99', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Nishiyama T. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Takano R. (Pen),
1, Erik (Pen),
2, Nishiyama T. (Pen),
2, Miyashiro T. (Pen),
3, Takeuchi T. (Pen),
3, Ogihara T. (Pen),
4, Nishiyama T. (Pen),
4, Jean Patric (Pen),
Preview
Sagamihara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Vissel Kobe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vissel Kobe is the undeniable favorite.