Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 13

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)


	Guangxi Hengchen		Hunan Billows

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.4
				Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.48
	2.17	2.69	3.67
	1.91	3.3	3.4
	1.99	3.13	3.86	Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.18)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	3.54 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
45.3%

Draw
28.7%

Hunan Billows
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Hunan Billows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Guangxi Hengchen - Hunan Billows Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Guangxi Hengchen will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Hunan Billows will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangxi Hengchen: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Shen Bokai (G) 21. Wang Xingqiang 5. Huang Chuang 53. Feng Yifan 18. Zuo Yiteng 11. Wang H. 58. Guo Z. 3. Yuan X. 54. Xu Zhicheng 25. Ren K. 15. Wu Guichao	28. Dong Jianhong (G) 6. Chen Ao 5. Jiang Zhe 2. Hu Yongfa 21. Lu Yuefeng 16. Liu Jing 45. Lu Y. 25. Li Chenguang 19. Liu Xinyu 32. Wang B. 27. Zu Pengchao
Substitutes
6. Ding Quancheng 47. Erkin E. 4. Fang Zhengyang 49. Guo S. 41. Liang Chaoshi (G) 42. Shi Yunfeng 7. Wang Minjie 43. Wang Tianci (G) 12. Yang Yun 17. Zhang Xiao	1. Bai S. (G) 3. Chen Fangzhou 9. Gao Mingqi 37. Geng Zhiqing 20. Halimurat Kamiran 23. Liao Haochuan 17. Liao Wei 15. Lin Jinghao 56. Liu Guanjun 22. Tursun Qeyser 46. Wei Z.
Coaches
Sun W.	Teng Renjun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Chen Ao 🟨,
36', Zuo Yiteng 🟨,
43', Jiang Zhe 🟨,
43', Wang Xingqiang 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zu Pengchao ↓, Liao Wei ↑,
46', Wu Guichao ↓, Zhang Xiao ↑,
46', Xu Zhicheng ↓, Yang Yun ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Liu Jing (Own goal),
76', Liu Xinyu ↓, Lin Jinghao ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Lin Jinghao ⚽, Hu Yongfa (A),
86', Hu Yongfa ↓, Chen Fangzhou ↑,
86', Lu Yuefeng ↓, Liao Haochuan ↑,
86', Guo Z. ↓, Ding Quancheng ↑,
90+1', Jiang Zhe ↓, Halimurat Kamiran ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shanghai Port	0:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
16.06.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangxi Lanhang	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Wenzhou Professional - Guangxi Hengchen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWTT
- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
15.06.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Hunan Billows	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Hunan Billows - Shanghai Port B	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Hunan Billows - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Hunan Billows	3:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Hunan Billows - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
10.04.24	Hunan Billows - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2

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