Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 26

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Jinshan Sports Center (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Shanghai Port B		Shaanxi Union

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.83
				Watch
	4.01	3.35	1.85
	4	3.41	1.84	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.85
	3.85	3.42	1.83
	3.85	3.35	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.32)	3.39 ↓ (3.72)	1.84 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Port B
23.8%

Draw
26.8%

Shaanxi Union
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

24.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

24%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Port B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Shaanxi Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shaanxi Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Port B than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shaanxi Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shanghai Port B - Shaanxi Union Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Ren Zihao (G) 42. Song Chunxiao 60. Tang Yuxuan 64. Wang Yiwei 11. Li Haoran 8. Peng H. 52. Meng Jingchao 55. Wang Song 46. Liu B. 49. Li X. 10. Liao Chongjiu	28. Zhou Yuchen (G) 49. Eysajan Elkut 4. Wang Weipu 29. Mi Haolun 38. Hu Mingtian 18. Ruan Jun 15. Wen Wubin 8. Xie Zhiwei 10. Gao Tianyu 11. Wen Shuo 45. Zhong Weihong
Substitutes
58. Chen Jianyu 48. Fang Yuan 5. Fan Weyiang 54. Fan Y. 45. Jiang Erhan 57. Li Jaqi 61. Li Zhiliang (G) 7. Wang H. 50. Wang Yulong 53. Wu Jin 3. Yang Yi 51. Zhang Huiyu	57. Bai Mingyu (G) 22. Chen X. 25. Li Chen (G) 60. Li Tianle (G) 7. Ma Xiaolei 47. Tursunali Nureli 32. Xu Wu 44. Yang Ruiqi 16. Yangyang Ma 5. Yao Diran
Coaches
Chen Xufeng	Petersen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Liao Chongjiu ⚽, Peng H. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Eysajan Elkut ⚽, Zhong Weihong (A),
28', Peng H. 🟨,
42', Eysajan Elkut ↓, Yangyang Ma ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wang Yiwei ↓, Fan Y. ↑,
62', Liao Chongjiu ↓, Wu Jin ↑,
62', Wen Shuo ↓, Xu Wu ↑,
62', Zhong Weihong ↓, Tursunali Nureli ↑,
62', Xie Zhiwei ↓, Chen X. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Xu Wu ⚽,
75', Song Chunxiao ↓, Wang H. ↑,
78', Wen Wubin ↓, Yao Diran ↑,
83', Peng H. ↓, Li Jaqi ↑,
83', Meng Jingchao ↓, Jiang Erhan ↑,
90', Hu Mingtian 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Port B
Chinese Yi League
29.09.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shanghai Port B	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Shanghai Port B - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:3 ✺
16.09.24	Dalian Kun City - Shanghai Port B	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Shanghai Port B - Shandong Taishan B	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Shaanxi Union - Shanghai Port B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLLW
- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Yi League
28.09.24	Hunan Billows - Shaanxi Union	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shaanxi Union	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Shaanxi Union - Shanghai Port B	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Shaanxi Union - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
31.08.24	Shaanxi Union - Shanghai Port B	1:2

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