Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 21

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Weinan Sports Center Stadium (Weinan)


	Shaanxi Union		Shanghai Port B

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.75
				Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.84
	1.56	3.71	5.63	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.48	4	6.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.82)	3.75 ↑ (3.25)	5.28 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Union
58.1%

Draw
24.5%

Shanghai Port B
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

29.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shaanxi Union's performance.

Shanghai Port B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port B than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Shaanxi Union - Shanghai Port B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Zhou Yuchen (G) 38. Hu Mingtian 4. Wang Weipu 36. Pei Shuai 41. Wu J. 15. Wen Wubin 6. Ding Jie 10. Gao Tianyu 29. Mi Haolun 18. Ruan Jun 20. Palmanjan K.	41. Xi Anjie (G) 43. Lu Kun 60. Tang Yuxuan 50. Wang Yulong 64. Wang Yiwei 52. Meng Jingchao 46. Liu B. 6. Zhao S. 11. Li Haoran 10. Liao Chongjiu 8. Peng H.
Substitutes
22. Chen X. 49. Eysajan Elkut 25. Li Chen (G) 9. Li Rui 34. Pang Zhiquan 47. Tursunali Nureli 17. Wu Chengru 32. Xu Wu 44. Yang Ruiqi 16. Yangyang Ma 5. Yao Diran 45. Zhong Weihong	58. Chen Jianyu 48. Fang Yuan 5. Fan Weyiang 54. Fan Y. 57. Li Jaqi 47. Lin Jinrong 49. Li X. 56. Ren Zihao (G) 7. Wang H. 53. Wu Jin 51. Zhang Huiyu
Coaches
Cespedes O.	Chen Xufeng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Peng H. ⚽, Liu B. (A),
43', Tang Yuxuan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Meng Jingchao ↓, Li X. ↑,
46', Liao Chongjiu ↓, Li Jaqi ↑,
46', Gao Tianyu ↓, Yangyang Ma ↑,
46', Pei Shuai ↓, Li Rui ↑,
46', Mi Haolun ↓, Eysajan Elkut ↑,
58', Ruan Jun ↓, Pang Zhiquan ↑,
60', Wang Yiwei ↓, Zhang Huiyu ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Pang Zhiquan ⚽, Wu J. (A),
64', Hu Mingtian 🟨,
66', Peng H. ↓, Fan Y. ↑,
67', Ding Jie ↓, Tursunali Nureli ↑,
69', Li Haoran ↓, Lin Jinrong ↑,
90+2', Li Rui ↓, Yang Ruiqi ↑,
90+4', Liu B. ↓, Wu Jin ↑,
90+9', 1 - 2, Wang Weipu (Own goal),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Yi League
24.08.24	Shaanxi Union - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Shaanxi Union	3:2 ✺
28.07.24	Dalian Kun City - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Shaanxi Union - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Shaanxi Union - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLTWL
- Shanghai Port B
Chinese Yi League
24.08.24	Shanghai Port B - Nantong Haimen Codion	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shanghai Port B	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Kunming City - Shanghai Port B	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Shanghai Port B - Guangxi Hengchen	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Shanghai Port B - Quanzhou Yassin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWW

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