Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 23

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Kun City		Shanghai Port B

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.6
				Watch
	1.7	3.27	4.84
	1.69	3.36	5.06	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.68	3.44	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.37)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	4.69 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
53.7%

Draw
26.9%

Shanghai Port B
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Kun City's performance.

Shanghai Port B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Port B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Kun City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port B than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Port B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Dalian Kun City - Shanghai Port B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Wang Zhuo (G) 17. Yang Fan 37. Chen Jiaqi 18. Ren W. 6. Ge Hailun 21. Chen Rong 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 23. Yin Lu 49. Yan Shoukuan 28. Cui Hao 10. Zhu Shiyu	56. Ren Zihao (G) 43. Lu Kun 60. Tang Yuxuan 50. Wang Yulong 64. Wang Yiwei 55. Wang Song 42. Song Chunxiao 46. Liu B. 11. Li Haoran 10. Liao Chongjiu 8. Peng H.
Substitutes
55. Ali M. 26. Cai Haochen (G) 25. Cong Zhen 11. Ge Yuxiang 15. Huo Liang 4. Liu J. 40. Liu Zhizhi 14. Li Xudong 34. Li Z. 36. Yuan H. 60. Zhong Ziqin 9. Zhou Bingxu	58. Chen Jianyu 48. Fang Yuan 5. Fan Weyiang 57. Li Jaqi 47. Lin Jinrong 52. Meng Jingchao 7. Wang H. 41. Xi Anjie (G) 3. Yang Yi 59. Yang Zihan 51. Zhang Huiyu 6. Zhao S.
Coaches
Zhou L.	Chen Xufeng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Zhu Shiyu ⚽, Chen Jiaqi (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yan Shoukuan ↓, Ali M. ↑,
46', Song Chunxiao ↓, Zhang Huiyu ↑,
48', Cui Hao 🟨,
57', Zhu Shiyu ↓, Yuan H. ↑,
58', Yang Fan ↓, Li Z. ↑,
61', Wang Yiwei ↓, Lin Jinrong ↑,
65', Cui Hao ↓, Liu Zhizhi ↑,
68', Liu B. 🟨,
70', Li Haoran ↓, Wang H. ↑,
76', Ren W. ↓, Zhou Bingxu ↑,
85', Chen Rong 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Chen Rong ↓, Huo Liang ↑,
90+6', Huo Liang 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Dalian Kun City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
07.09.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Dalian Kun City	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Dalian Kun City - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Hunan Billows - Dalian Kun City	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Dalian Kun City - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTT
- Shanghai Port B
Chinese Yi League
08.09.24	Shanghai Port B - Shandong Taishan B	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Shaanxi Union - Shanghai Port B	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Shanghai Port B - Nantong Haimen Codion	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shanghai Port B	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Kunming City - Shanghai Port B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWLT

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