Match Info

League Two - Relegation Group - Round 23

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8


	Guangdong Mingtu		Shanghai Second

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.00	3.40
	1.85	3.20	3.80
	1.88	3.04	4.66
	2.07	2.97	3.76
	1.85	3	4.25
	1.92	3.32	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	3.99 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Mingtu
47.4%

Draw
29.6%

Shanghai Second
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Mingtu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Shanghai Second has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Second than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Guangdong Mingtu - Shanghai Second Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Li C. (G) 12. Chen Rijin 36. Tan Zhennan 21. Liu Shuai 52. Zhong W. 8. Tian Li 16. Cai M. (C) 17. Wang Tanyou 7. Gu Zhiwei 43. Zhu Xinyu 42. He J.	1. Zhou Zhengkai (G) 4. Li Guihao 30. Wen Da (C) 40. Aidi 6. Xu Lei 2. Jiang Zhixin 36. Xiang Ruoke 8. Qi Long 24. Yu Yanfeng 9. He Shaolin 11. Zhang Yi
Substitutes
6. Huang Guangliang 5. Jiang Yixiang 45. Li J. (G) 9. Li Ming 41. Li T. 3. Liu Ruicheng 23. Long J. 33. Qu J. 40. Sun Chenxi 10. Wen Y. 50. Wu Z. 28. Zhang Zhihao	5. Bi Haoyang 19. Chen Q. 12. Guo Tong (G) 20. He K. 15. He Linhan 25. Liu Wenjie 7. Shen Chenji 29. Shi Yiyi 14. Wang Jiahao
Coaches
Sanabria A.	Dimitrijevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, He J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhu Xinyu ↓, Qu J. ↑,
46', Yu Yanfeng ↓, Wang Jiahao ↑,
59', Qi Long ↓, He K. ↑,
62', He J. 🟨,
63', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Sun Chenxi ↑,
63', He J. ↓, Long J. ↑,
67', Chen Rijin ↓, Wu Z. ↑,
74', He Shaolin ↓, Shi Yiyi ↑,
74', Xu Lei ↓, He Linhan ↑,
78', Shi Yiyi 🟨,
85', Zhang Yi ↓, Shen Chenji ↑,
90+1', Jiang Zhixin 🟨,
90+5', Wang Tanyou ↓, Jiang Yixiang ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Guangdong Mingtu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shanghai Second is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guangdong Mingtu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
23.08.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Guangdong Mingtu	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns B	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
27.07.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Chengdu Rongcheng B	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTWT
- Shanghai Second FC
Chinese Yi League
22.08.26	Taian Tiankuang - Shanghai Second	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Shanghai Second - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Beijing Institute of Technology - Shanghai Second	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Shanghai Second - Changchun Xidu	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Shanghai Second	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
19.04.26	Shanghai Second - Guangdong Mingtu	1:0

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