Match Info

League Two - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Yatai Training Base Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8


	Changchun Xidu		Guangdong Mingtu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.87
	2.63	2.85	2.55	Watch
	3.07	2.83	2.99
	2.67	2.71	2.91	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.95
	2.99	2.86	2.6
	2.8	2.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.6)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)	2.75 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Xidu
33.8%

Draw
32.8%

Guangdong Mingtu
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

31.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Guangdong Mingtu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+1%)

Changchun Xidu - Guangdong Mingtu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Hu H. (G) 5. Yang Lei 58. Kadir Aysan 21. Wang H. 11. Sun Fei 3. Yangyang Ma 13. Wang Tianci (C) 6. Liu Yang 45. Yang Jingfan 39. Liang Huan 29. Memet Nuryasin	14. Li C. (G) 22. Fang H. 41. Li T. 21. Liu Shuai 52. Zhong W. 33. Qu J. 5. Jiang Yixiang 16. Cai M. (C) 43. Zhu Xinyu 23. Long J. 17. Wang Tanyou
Substitutes
44. Chen Quanjiang 49. Feng Zijun 15. Geng Xianglong 14. He Youzu 37. Li Jiaqi 24. Liu Jiahao 16. Ma Pujia 2. Wang Song 22. Yang Xinyang (G) 23. Ye-Yang Runyi 8. Yu Z. 18. Zhong Weihong	12. Chen Rijin 7. Gu Zhiwei 42. He J. 6. Huang Guangliang 45. Li J. (G) 40. Sun Chenxi 36. Tan Zhennan 8. Tian Li 50. Wu Z. 11. Xin Hongjun 46. Yang Zhengyi 28. Zhang Zhihao
Coaches
Li Bin	Sanabria A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Yang Jingfan 🟨,
19', Sun Fei ↓, Wang Song ↑,
43', Yang Lei 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yang Jingfan ↓, Feng Zijun ↑,
56', Qu J. ↓, Gu Zhiwei ↑,
57', Liang Huan ↓, He Youzu ↑,
76', Wang Tianci ↓, Yu Z. ↑,
77', Liu Yang 🟨,
77', Zhu Xinyu ↓, Xin Hongjun ↑,
77', Long J. ↓, He J. ↑,
86', Yu Z. 🟨,

Preview

In recent outings, Changchun Xidu has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Guangdong Mingtu shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
12.09.26	Hubei Istar - Changchun Xidu	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Changchun Xidu - Dalian Kewei	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Beijing Institute of Technology - Changchun Xidu	2:2 ✺
05.08.26	Changchun Xidu - Dalian Yingbo B	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Shanghai Second - Changchun Xidu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWTLT
- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
12.09.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Shanghai Second	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Guangdong Mingtu	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns B	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
27.07.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Chengdu Rongcheng B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWTW

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