Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)


	Sheffield Wednesday		Wycombe Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5.25
	1.62	4	5
	1.63	3.85	5.6
	1.63	3.85	4.8
	1.65	3.98	5.62
	1.63	3.9	5
	1.66	4.2	5.15	Watch
	1.64	3.9	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)	3.96 ↑ (3.44)	5.17 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
57.8%

Draw
23.9%

Wycombe Wanderers
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.2%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.6%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheffield Wednesday's performance.

Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheffield Wednesday that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	6.7%	16.7%

Sheffield Wednesday - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Wycombe will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 16).

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (23.08%), has project points - 89, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a good chance of promoted (53%), has a chance of win league (23%).

Wycombe has the most likely position - 10 (7.33%), has project points - 67, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 42, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Sheff Wed is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wycombe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sheff Wed is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
English League One
17.09.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
13.09.22	Morecambe - Sheffield Wednesday	0:3 ✺
03.09.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Bradford City - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL
- Wycombe Wanderers
English EFL Trophy
20.09.22	Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English League One
17.09.22	Derby County - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
13.09.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Accrington Stanley	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Fleetwood Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.04.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0
27.11.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2
English League Championship
09.02.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0
31.10.20	Wycombe Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0
English League One
05.05.12	Sheffield Wednesday - Wycombe Wanderers	N/A

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