Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Derby County		Wycombe Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.33	6.5
	1.47	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.51	7.66
	1.46	4.52	7.66
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.45	4.4	6.9	Watch
	1.46	4.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	4.4 ↑ (4.01)	6.88 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
64.7%

Draw
21.5%

Wycombe Wanderers
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

22.8%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Derby County - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: Derby County will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wildsmith J. (G) 23. Ward J. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. 3. Forsyth C. 4. Hourihane C. (C) 2. Wilson K. 8. Bird M. 17. Sibley L. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 9. Collins J.	1. Stryjek M. (G) 2. Grimmer J. 5. Forino-Joseph C. 17. Low J. 23. Sadlier K. 10. Leahy L. 4. Scowen J. (C) 11. Boyes H. 12. McCleary G. 22. Phillips K. 30. Taylor L.
Substitutes
7. Barkhuizen T. 5. Bradley S. 20. Elder C. 42. Fapetu A. 22. Fornah T. 19. John-Jules T. 31. Vickers J. (G)	8. Breckin K. 3. Jacobson J. 16. Keogh R. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G) 44. Vincent-Young K. 9. Vokes S. 7. Wheeler D.
Coaches
Warne P.	Bloomfield M.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Derby is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wycombe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wycombe have a series of home games.

In this match Derby is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Derby to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English League One
09.12.23	Leyton Orient - Derby County	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Derby County - Fleetwood Town	3:0 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Port Vale - Derby County	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Derby County - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Derby County - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL
- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
09.12.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Fulham U21	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.02.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Derby County	3:2
17.09.22	Derby County - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1
English League Championship
16.02.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Derby County	1:2
28.11.20	Derby County - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1

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