Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tolka Park (Dublin)

Referee: Culina A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player


	Shelbourne		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.53	Watch
	5.25	4	1.58
	6.4	4.15	1.49
	5.9	4.18	1.52
	5.92	4.22	1.52	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
	5.76	3.98	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (4.62)	3.99 ↓ (4.52)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shelbourne
16.5%

Draw
23.4%

Qarabağ Agdam
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

21.3%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	18.7%	71.9%

Shelbourne - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Shelbourne (3.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Qarabağ (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Qarabağ Agdam will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Qarabağ (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Healy L. (G) 2. Gannon S. 4. Ledwidge K. 29. Barrett P. (C) 3. Wilson T. 7. Wood H. 6. Lunney J. 23. McInroy K. 14. Coote A. 11. Odubeko A. 27. Caffrey E.	97. Buntic F. (G) 18. Dani Bolt 13. Mustafazada B. 2. Matheus Silva 27. Bayramov T. 35. Pedro Bicalho 20. Kady Borges 11. Addai E. 15. Leandro Andrade 90. Akhundzade N. 10. Zoubir A. (C)
Substitutes
15. Bone S. 9. Boyd S. 5. Chapman E. 8. Coyle M. 17. Kelly D. 10. Martin J. 18. Norris J. 49. Offor R. 16. O'Sullivan J. 96. Speel W. (G) 24. Temple L. 50. Topcu A. (G)	44. Cafarquliyev E. 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 21. Kashchuk O. 99. Kochalski M. (G) 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 81. Medina K. 22. Qurbanly M.
Coaches
O'Brien J.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Bayramov T. (A),
18', Wilson T. ↓, Norris J. ↑,
42', Akhundzade N. 🟨,
44', Gannon S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gannon S. ↓, Coyle M. ↑,
66', Coote A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
66', Caffrey E. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
70', Dani Bolt 🟨,
71', Wood H. 🟨,
76', Dani Bolt ↓, Huseynov A. ↑,
77', Leandro Andrade ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
77', Odubeko A. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Kashchuk O. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Akhundzade N. ⚽,
87', Akhundzade N. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
87', Zoubir A. ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
90+3', O'Sullivan J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Shelbourne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Qarabağ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Qarabağ is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Qarabağ Agdam - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.92%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shelbourne
Irish FAI Cup
19.07.25	Fairview Rangers - Shelbourne	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.25	Linfield - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
09.07.25	Shelbourne - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
04.07.25	Shelbourne - Cork City	3:1 ✺
27.06.25	Galway United - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWWT
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kharkiv	4:5 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
31.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:3 ET ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
24.05.25	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW

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