Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 29 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	15	5.5	1.25
	11.5	6	1.21
	11	5.5	1.24
	15.49	5.32	1.25
	10	5.5	1.18
	13	5.95	1.23
	12	5.8	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.57 ↑ (8.7)	5.65 ↑ (4.94)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen
7.4%

Draw
16.5%

Chengdu Rongcheng
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

18.9%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.2%

18%

74.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chengdu Rongcheng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Shenzhen - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wei Minzhe (G) 16. Zheng Dalun 27. Yang Boyu 26. Yuan Mincheng 4. Jiang Zhipeng (C) 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 19. Xu Yue 30. Huang Ruifeng 21. Zhang Yuan 20. Liu Yue 33. Du Yuezheng	1. Geng Xiaofeng (G) 20. Tang Miao 26. Liu Tao 40. Windbichler R. 5. Hu Ruibao 3. Tang Xin 7. Palacios M. 8. Chow T. (C) 39. Gan Chao 9. Elkeson 21. Felipe Silva
Substitutes
36. Chen Guoliang 18. Chen Xiangyu 22. Dong Chunyu (G) 37. Hu Jiajin 32. Ji Jibao (G) 12. Liao Lei 14. Li Ning 40. Lu Jiaqiang 6. Pei Shuai 13. Xu Haofeng 11. Zhang Yuan 28. Zhou Xin	19. Dong Y. 6. Feng Zhuoyi 17. Gan Rui 36. Gou J. 2. Hu H. 29. Iminqari M. 16. Jian Tao (G) 11. Kim Min-Woo 27. Liu Bin 24. Tang Chuang 15. Wu Guichao 23. Yang Yiming
Coaches
Chen Tao	Seo Jung-Won

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 3).

Shenzhen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Shenzhen have a series of guest games.

In this match Chengdu Rongcheng is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen FC
Chinese FA Cup
25.06.23	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
08.06.23	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen	4:1 ✺
02.06.23	Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen	3:0 ✺
28.05.23	Shenzhen - Meizhou Hakka	3:2 ✺
24.05.23	Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWL
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
08.06.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Shanghai Port - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
23.05.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
26.06.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shenzhen	2:2
04.06.22	Shenzhen - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:0

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