Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 2 June 2023, Friday

Location: Huizhou Olympic Stadium (Huizhou)

Referee: Xing G. (Chn)


	Zhejiang Professional		Shenzhen

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5.25
	1.62	3.8	4.6
	1.65	4.1	4.5
	1.69	4.04	4.74
	1.57	3.7	4.6
	1.66	4	4.9	Watch
	1.66	3.85	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.35)	3.9 ↓ (4.97)	4.74 ↓ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhejiang Professional
56.5%

Draw
23.9%

Shenzhen
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

18.8%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18.6%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhejiang Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhejiang Professional's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhejiang Professional than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhejiang Professional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Zhejiang Pro will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Shenzhen will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhejiang Pro: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zhao Bo (G) 19. Dong Yu 4. Sun Zheng'ao 2. Leung Nok-Hang (C) 28. Yue Xin 10. Li Tixiang 8. N'Doumbou A. 6. Yao Junsheng 17. Kouassi J. E. 7. Ewolo U. D. 30. Mushekwi N.	1. Wei Minzhe (G) 13. Xu Haofeng 26. Yuan Mincheng 11. Zhang Yuan (C) 4. Jiang Zhipeng 20. Liu Yue 21. Zhang Yuan 30. Huang Ruifeng 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 7. Acheampong F. 33. Du Yuezheng
Substitutes
11. Andrijasevic F. 9. Gao Di 31. Gu Bin 15. Jin Haoxiang 21. Ji Shengpan 12. Lai Jinfeng (G) 20. Wang Dongsheng 25. Xu Junchi 24. Ye Daoxin 29. Zhang Jiaqi	36. Chen Guoliang 22. Dong Chunyu (G) 9. Donkin W. 12. Liao Lei 14. Li Ning 25. Mi Haolun 6. Pei Shuai 39. Wang Chengkuai 19. Xu Yue 27. Yang Boyu 16. Zheng Dalun 28. Zhou Xin
Coaches
Vinyals J.	Chen Tao

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).

Shenzhen has the most likely position - 15 (100%), project points - 21, currently - 21, already of relegated.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zhejiang Professional won 2.

Zhejiang Professional is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Shenzhen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Zhejiang Professional is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Zhejiang Professional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Zhejiang Professional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhejiang Professional FC
Chinese Super League
28.05.23	Zhejiang Professional - Beijing Guoan	3:2 ✺
24.05.23	Dalian Pro - Zhejiang Professional	1:2 ✺
19.05.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Zhejiang Professional	2:2 ✺
14.05.23	Zhejiang Professional - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
10.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Zhejiang Professional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTLW
- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Super League
28.05.23	Shenzhen - Meizhou Hakka	3:2 ✺
24.05.23	Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen	3:0 ✺
19.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Shenzhen - Dalian Pro	2:1 ✺
09.05.23	Shenzhen - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
03.11.22	Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen	0:2
05.08.22	Shenzhen - Zhejiang Professional	0:2
Chinese Jia League
02.09.18	Shenzhen - Zhejiang Professional	1:2
22.04.18	Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen	1:1
21.10.17	Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen	2:4
17.06.17	Shenzhen - Zhejiang Professional	4:1

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