Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)


	Changchun Yatai		Shenzhen

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	12	Watch
	1.22	6	10.5
	1.23	5.75	10
	1.23	6.44	11
	1.17	5.5	11
	1.22	6.35	12.5
	1.21	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.53)	6.15 ↑ (4.38)	11.14 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
76.6%

Draw
15.1%

Shenzhen
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21.4%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changchun Yatai's performance.

Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changchun Yatai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Shenzhen will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 2. Abdugheni A. 26. Yi Teng 4. Okore J. 21. Cui Qi 11. Abdusalam S. 44. Zulj P. 20. Zhang Yufeng 8. Wang Jinxian 29. Tan Long (C) 9. Leonardo	1. Wei Minzhe (G) 11. Zhang Yuan (C) 28. Zhou Xin 26. Yuan Mincheng 12. Liao Lei 13. Xu Haofeng 30. Huang Ruifeng 14. Li Ning 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 9. Donkin W. 33. Du Yuezheng
Substitutes
37. Cao Yongjing 13. Cheng Changcheng 36. Fan Chao 34. He Yiran 19. Liao Chengjian 17. Li Hong 38. Lu Ning (G) 10. Serginho 31. Shi Lishan 5. Sun Jie 15. Tian Yuda 16. Zheng Zhiyun	36. Chen Guoliang 18. Chen Xiangyu 22. Dong Chunyu (G) 37. Hu Jiajin 20. Liu Yue 40. Lu Jiaqiang 39. Wang Chengkuai 19. Xu Yue
Coaches
Chen Yang	Chen Tao

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 11).

Shenzhen has the most likely position - 15 (100%), project points - 21, currently - 21, already of relegated.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Changchun Yatai is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Changchun Yatai won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Changchun Yatai won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
02.06.23	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	4:3 ✺
29.05.23	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Port	0:3 ✺
23.05.23	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Changchun Yatai	2:4 ✺
14.05.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWT
- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Super League
02.06.23	Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen	3:0 ✺
28.05.23	Shenzhen - Meizhou Hakka	3:2 ✺
24.05.23	Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen	3:0 ✺
19.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Shenzhen - Dalian Pro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
10.12.22	Shenzhen - Changchun Yatai	0:2
30.09.22	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen	1:0
29.12.21	Shenzhen - Changchun Yatai	0:1
16.12.21	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen	1:1

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