Match Info

League One - Round 20

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Changchun Yatai		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.30	3.40
	1.7	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.37
	1.73	3.8	4.4	Watch
	1.69	3.6	4.25
	1.67	3.7	4.32	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.72)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	4.15 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
52.5%

Draw
25.5%

Foshan Nanshi
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

20.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changchun Yatai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Changchun Yatai - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 20. Fan Houtai 35. Jiang Zilei 38. Sun Xipeng 14. JIng Boxi 25. Chen Xuhuang 6. Li Qiang 39. Liu Ziheng 29. Tan Long (C) 9. Omoijuanfo O. 7. Salazar J.	26. Ge Yifan (G) 13. Zhang Xingbo (C) 2. Qian Yumiao 19. Liu H. 15. Benavides N. 16. Li Ruiyue 7. Mu Zihan 30. Huang Chuqi 24. Deletic M. 44. Antwi R. 11. Ndiaye M.
Substitutes
22. Benhaddouche C. 3. Du Kaile 19. Geng Taili 21. He Xin 5. Ling Chuanbin 36. Lu K. 26. Lu Yiming 17. Muhamet 33. Sun Guoliang 32. Tian Ziyi 16. Tudi Dilyimit 23. Wu Yake (G)	25. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Chang Feiya 3. Jiang W. 22. Jiang Z. 12. Liu Zongyuan 33. Qin Haoqing (G) 36. Shi Xiaton (G) 28. Yin B. 32. Yu G. 14. Zheng Junwei 10. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Yan Feng	Yao L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Omoijuanfo O. ⚽, Liu Ziheng (A),
15', 2 - 0, Omoijuanfo O. ⚽,
17', 3 - 0, Salazar J. ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
25', 4 - 0, Tan Long ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
32', 5 - 0, Salazar J. ⚽, Liu Ziheng (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mu Zihan ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,
46', Ndiaye M. ↓, Liu Zongyuan ↑,
46', Antwi R. ↓, Aniwar Abduwahap ↑,
53', 6 - 0, Omoijuanfo O. ⚽, Salazar J. (A),
61', Salazar J. ↓, Muhamet ↑,
61', Liu Ziheng ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
61', Tan Long ↓, He Xin ↑,
71', Huang Chuqi ↓, Zhong Ziqin ↑,
75', Chen Xuhuang ↓, Ling Chuanbin ↑,
79', Deletic M. ↓, Yin B. ↑,
81', Sun Xipeng ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Changchun Yatai is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Foshan Nanshi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Foshan Nanshi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Changchun Yatai is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30
16	Foshan Nanshi	25	3	7	15	25:49	-24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
14.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Changchun Yatai - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Wuxi Wugou	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTWL
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
16.08.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Meizhou Hakka - Foshan Nanshi	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Foshan Nanshi	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Foshan Nanshi - Wuxi Wugou	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Foshan Nanshi - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
18.04.26	Foshan Nanshi - Changchun Yatai	1:3

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