Match Info

League One - Round 23

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Changchun Yatai		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.80	4.20
	1.63	3.90	4.30	Watch
	1.67	4.04	4.80
	1.61	4	4.99	Watch
	1.63	3.90	4.75
	1.68	4.06	4.37	Watch
	1.62	3.85	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)	3.94 ↑ (3.55)	4.56 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
56.3%

Draw
23.4%

Dingnan United
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

22.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changchun Yatai's performance.

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changchun Yatai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dingnan United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Changchun Yatai - Dingnan United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 35. Jiang Zilei 4. Wang Weipu 27. Reiner C. 37. Zhou Dadi 16. Tudi Dilyimit 6. Li Qiang 39. Liu Ziheng 17. Muhamet 9. Omoijuanfo O. (C) 7. Salazar J.	31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 34. Hao Yucheng 3. Zhu Mingxin 4. Daciel 23. Du Junpeng 16. Li Zhi 10. Tang Shi (C) 22. Gao S. 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 21. Hu Jiajin 7. Palacios M.
Substitutes
22. Benhaddouche C. 25. Chen Xuhuang 13. Dong Yifan (G) 3. Du Kaile 44. Fan Chao 14. JIng Boxi 5. Ling Chuanbin 36. Lu K. 33. Sun Guoliang 38. Sun Xipeng 29. Tan Long 41. Wu Junjie	28. Cheng Yetong 17. Chen Po-Liang 18. Fan Bojian 19. Han Yuchen 37. Petrov M. 45. Yang B. 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 2. Zhang Yujie 8. Zhang Zimin
Coaches
Yan Feng	Mao Biao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Jiang Zilei ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
43', Zhu Jiaxuan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Salazar J. ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
61', Liu Ziheng ↓, Tan Long ↑,
61', Muhamet ↓, Du Kaile ↑,
73', Tudi Dilyimit 🟨,
73', Gao S. ↓, Chen Po-Liang ↑,
73', Hu Jiajin ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
75', Tudi Dilyimit ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
75', Zhou Dadi ↓, Benhaddouche C. ↑,
80', Wu Junjie 🟨,
85', Li Zhi 🟨,
90+6', Chen Xuhuang 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent performances by Changchun Yatai have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dingnan United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Changchun Yatai is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
05.09.26	Changchun Yatai - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Changchun Yatai	3:0 ✺
23.08.26	Changchun Yatai - Foshan Nanshi	6:0 ✺
14.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
05.09.26	Shaanxi Union - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu	3:4 ✺
22.08.26	Dingnan United - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Nanjing City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Dingnan United - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
09.05.26	Dingnan United - Changchun Yatai	2:3

Upcoming Matches