Match Info

Jia League - Round 24

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Longhua sports center stadium (Shenzhen)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Shenzhen Juniors		Dalian Kun City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.08
	3.37	3.47	2.09
	3.31	3.46	2.09	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.72)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	2.15 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Juniors
29.6%

Draw
27.5%

Dalian Kun City
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.8%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Shenzhen Juniors - Dalian Kun City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cheng Yuelei (C) 27. Zhao S. 16. Zhou Xin 3. Benhaddouche C. 38. Nouble J. 21. Chen Y. 6. Liang Rifu 10. Xie Baoxian 36. Lin F. 9. Nzuzi Mata K. 17. Hu Ming	29. Fan Jinming (G) 8. Wu Y. 5. Lin Longchang 24. Musa S. I. 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 41. Deng Chunze 12. Zhao Shuhao 26. Cui Ming'an (C) 39. Lei Wenjie 31. Dominic Vinicius 30. Mushekwi N.
Substitutes
31. Chen Zirong (G) 25. Gao J. 7. Han Guanghui 29. Lin Zefeng 28. Li Yingjian 11. Lu J. 26. Mai Sijing 5. Marcic M. 18. Shi Yucheng 19. Su Yuliang 35. Zeng Y. 32. Zhu G.	17. Chen Jiaqi 20. Chen Rong 21. Ge Hailun 15. Ji Zhengyu 19. Lu C. 1. Ma Kunyue (G) 32. Song Chen 33. Sun Weijia 2. Wei Lai 27. Yan Shoukuan 25. Zhuang Q. 10. Zhu Shiyu
Coaches
Zhang Jun	Zhao Faqing

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Zhao S. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Wu Y. ⚽, Deng Chunze (A),
42', 0 - 2, Mushekwi N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Benhaddouche C. ↓, Shi Yucheng ↑,
46', Lin F. ↓, Su Yuliang ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Nouble J. ⚽,
64', Lin Longchang 🟨,
66', Zhai Zhaoyu ↓, Song Chen ↑,
66', Lei Wenjie ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
67', Xie Baoxian ↓, Li Yingjian ↑,
71', Dominic Vinicius 🟨,
76', Dominic Vinicius ↓, Chen Jiaqi ↑,
76', Deng Chunze ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Mushekwi N. ⚽,
83', Zhao Shuhao ↓, Ge Hailun ↑,
90+3', Mushekwi N. ↓, Ji Zhengyu ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).

Shenzhen Juniors is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dalian Kun City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dalian Kun City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Jia League
21.09.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Nanjing City - Shenzhen Juniors	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Liaoning Tieren	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Juniors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
21.09.25	Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Kun City	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Dalian Kun City - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Dalian Kun City - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
16.05.25	Dalian Kun City - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1
Chinese Yi League
06.10.24	Dalian Kun City - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0
31.08.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Dalian Kun City	1:0

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