Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 18

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Loudi Sports Center (Loudi)


	Hunan Billows		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.1	3
				Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.46
	2.06	3.26	3.37	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	1.97	3.32	3.48
	2.2	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.36)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	3.19 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hunan Billows
43.1%

Draw
28.5%

Shenzhen Juniors
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hunan Billows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+3%)

Hunan Billows - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Dong Jianhong (G) 2. Hu Yongfa 35. Li Xiaoting 32. Wang B. 16. Liu Jing 8. Zimin Nuali 14. Han Dong 53. Yu B. 21. Lu Yuefeng 19. Liu Xinyu 22. Tursun Qeyser	31. Chen Zirong (G) 56. Wang Jiakun 27. Sun Xiaobin 16. Zhou Xin 12. Han Guanghui 21. Chen Y. 18. Shi Yucheng 6. Liang Rifu 17. Hu Ming 10. Xie Baoxian 11. Lu J.
Substitutes
1. Bai S. (G) 3. Chen Fangzhou 37. Geng Zhiqing 20. Halimurat Kamiran 13. Iskandar B. 5. Jiang Zhe 23. Liao Haochuan 17. Liao Wei 56. Liu Guanjun 45. Lu Y. 51. Yin R. 27. Zu Pengchao	15. Chen Weiqi 8. Ke Yuan 23. Li Bin 33. Liu S. 3. Liu Zejun 28. Li Yingjian 24. Li Yuyang 1. Long Wenhao (G) 26. Mai Sijing 20. Men Yang 59. Wen Y. 57. Zhou Weijun
Coaches
Teng Renjun	Zhang Jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Liu Jing 🟨,
21', Tursun Qeyser 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Han Guanghui ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Han Dong ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
46', Lu Yuefeng ↓, Liao Haochuan ↑,
46', Liu Xinyu ↓, Jiang Zhe ↑,
46', Xie Baoxian ↓, Li Bin ↑,
61', Lu J. ↓, Men Yang ↑,
65', Zhou Xin 🟨,
77', Liang Rifu ↓, Li Yingjian ↑,
77', Wang Jiakun ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
83', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Halimurat Kamiran ↑,
85', Wang B. ↓, Geng Zhiqing ↑,
87', Shi Yucheng ↓, Ke Yuan ↑,
90', Li Xiaoting 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Li Yingjian (Pen),
90+5', 0 - 3, Wen Y. ⚽, Hu Ming (A),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
20.07.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Hunan Billows - Kunming City	2:2 ✺
07.07.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Hunan Billows	2:3 ✺
29.06.24	Hunan Billows - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
24.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWTT
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Yi League
21.07.24	Kunming City - Shenzhen Juniors	2:2 ✺
14.07.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shenzhen Juniors	2:2 ✺
07.07.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Wenzhou Professional	2:1 ✺
30.06.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Shenzhen Juniors	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
25.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Hunan Billows	3:3

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