Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Red Lions		Guangdong GZ-Power

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.9	4.45	1.35	Watch
	4.89	3.92	1.62	Watch
	7.85	4.45	1.34	Watch
	9.2	5.2	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.21 ↑ (4.89)	4.51 ↑ (3.92)	1.39 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
12.8%

Draw
20.6%

Guangdong GZ-Power
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

23.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

23.1%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.

Guangdong GZ-Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong GZ-Power's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong GZ-Power, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Qingdao Red Lions - Guangdong GZ Power Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Guangdong GZ-Power (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangdong GZ-Power (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Shibo (G) 33. Shi Zhe 16. Zhang Yixuan 4. Zhao Chengle 44. Wu Junhao 40. Pi Ziyang 5. Liu Pujin (C) 10. Leandro Alves 36. Lu K. 7. Nobrega J. 11. Sun Xipeng	22. Xiao Jiaqi (G) 13. Jiang Z. 5. Jiang Jihong (C) 3. Han Xuan 25. Wang Chien-Ming 34. Hou Yu 6. Duan Yunzi 37. Shang Yin 11. Nikao 9. Xia Dalong 20. Farley Rosa
Substitutes
37. Chen Hao-Wei 15. Hao Yucheng 3. Jiang Y. 8. Jia Xiaochen 25. Pan Kui 19. Ren Lihao 9. Rivaldinho 2. Song Bowei 39. Yao Xuchen 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)	8. Cai Haochang 2. Chen Guoliang 15. Deng Biao 39. Huang Shenghao 7. Joao Carlos 10. Liang Xueming 26. Ma Junliang 29. Shan P. 45. Xue Sibo (G) 42. Yang Hao 17. Yan Zihao 14. Zeng Chao
Coaches
Wang X.	Feng F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Nikao ⚽, Xia Dalong (A),
23', 0 - 2, Farley Rosa ⚽, Nikao (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Pi Ziyang ↓, Yao Xuchen ↑,
46', Nobrega J. ↓, Zhou Jianyi ↑,
46', Jiang Z. ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Xia Dalong ⚽, Shang Yin (A),
57', 0 - 4, Joao Carlos ⚽, Nikao (A),
60', Farley Rosa ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
60', Nikao ↓, Liang Xueming ↑,
63', Liu Pujin ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
68', Xia Dalong ↓, Ma Junliang ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Jia Xiaochen ⚽,
72', Shi Zhe ↓, Song Bowei ↑,
75', 2 - 4, Lu K. ⚽, Leandro Alves (A),
78', Joao Carlos 🟨,
84', Han Xuan 🟨,
85', Lu K. ↓, Rivaldinho ↑,
88', Yang Hao ↓, Deng Biao ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3).

Qingdao Red Lions is Relegated to League Two

Qingdao Red Lions is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guangdong GZ-Power is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Guangdong GZ-Power is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
25.10.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City	2:3 ✺
19.10.25	Shaanxi Union - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao Red Lions	7:1 ✺
26.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Guangdong GZ-Power FC
Chinese Jia League
26.10.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shaanxi Union	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Nanjing City	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shenzhen Juniors	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ningbo Professional - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
29.06.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Qingdao Red Lions	0:0

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