Match Info

Jia League - Round 25

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Nantong Zhiyun		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.1	7.5
	1.37	4.35	6.7
	1.39	4.55	7.99
	1.46	4.22	6.59	Watch
	1.42	4.89	6.25
	1.34	4.3	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.69)	4.4 ↑ (3.47)	7.24 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
66.3%

Draw
21%

Qingdao Red Lions
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

25.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantong Zhiyun's performance.

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao Red Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantong Zhiyun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Red Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Nantong Zhiyun (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Li Guanxi (G) 2. Xu Hui 6. Hu Mingfei 5. Ma Sheng (C) 18. Jiang Zilei 26. Palocevic A. 38. Yin Jiaxi 10. Ivanovic I. 11. Chen Binbin 20. Kolev A. 3. Gu Jiayi	32. Liu Shibo (G) 33. Shi Zhe 16. Zhang Yixuan 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 44. Wu Junhao 10. Leandro Alves 25. Pan Kui 8. Jia Xiaochen 30. Zhou Jianyi 36. Lu K. 11. Sun Xipeng
Substitutes
25. Cao Kang 32. Dai Bowei 31. Guo Ziyin 37. Jia Boyan 21. Jiang Jiapeng 13. Liao Lei 14. Liu Weicheng 16. Lu Jin (G) 45. Meng Junjie 36. Qiu Zhongyi 7. Ye Daochi 29. Yuye Zhang	22. Iskandar B. 5. Liu Pujin 40. Pi Ziyang 2. Song Bowei 24. Song Runtong 39. Yao Xuchen 23. Zhang Liang 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 1. Zhu Quan (G)
Coaches
Kim Dae-Eui	Wang X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Hu Mingfei ⚽, Palocevic A. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Ivanovic I. ⚽, Chen Binbin (A),
31', 3 - 0, Ivanovic I. ⚽, Kolev A. (A),
34', Xu Hui 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Zhou Jianyi ↓, Yao Xuchen ↑,
46', Gu Jiayi ↓, Jia Boyan ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Leandro Alves (Pen),
54', 4 - 1, Kolev A. ⚽, Chen Binbin (A),
67', Chen Binbin ↓, Liu Weicheng ↑,
72', Ivanovic I. ↓, Dai Bowei ↑,
73', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
80', 5 - 1, Kolev A. ⚽, Palocevic A. (A),
85', 6 - 1, Jia Boyan ⚽,
86', Song Bowei 🟨,
88', Palocevic A. 🟨,
88', Palocevic A. ↓, Meng Junjie ↑,
90+4', 7 - 1, Ye Daochi ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Nantong Zhiyun is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Qingdao Red Lions's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nantong Zhiyun is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Nantong Zhiyun will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nantong Zhiyun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
26.09.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nantong Zhiyun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWTWW
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
26.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
26.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1

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