Match Info

Jia League - Round 26

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Red Lions		Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.16	3.25	2.29
	6.97	1.50	3.77	Watch
	2.98	3.13	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (2.91)	2.75 ↓ (3.1)	2.64 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
25.2%

Draw
36.7%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.9%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Shibo (G) 2. Song Bowei 16. Zhang Yixuan 25. Pan Kui 33. Shi Zhe 39. Yao Xuchen 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 7. Nobrega J. 10. Leandro Alves 11. Sun Xipeng 44. Wu Junhao	13. Wang Jinshuai (G) 35. Zhu Yue 5. Yao Diran (C) 34. Xiang Rongjun 36. Yang Minjie 32. You Wenjie 19. Chen Quanjiang 11. Liu Hao 29. Fu Shang 8. Hu Jiajin 43. Cheukoua M.
Substitutes
8. Jia Xiaochen 5. Liu Pujin 18. Li Ya'nan (G) 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 24. Song Runtong 23. Zhang Liang 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)	28. Chen Shaohao 25. Chen Shihao 33. Ding Quancheng 44. Fan Chao 4. Feng Yifan 20. Jiang Zhengjie 39. Lu Chenghe 1. Wang Yanhan (G) 27. Wei Guoren 17. Yang Jingfan 38. Zhang Wei 16. Zhang Zili

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Sun Xipeng ⚽, Leandro Alves (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Cheukoua M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hu Jiajin ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
46', Shi Zhe ↓, Lu K. ↑,
62', Yao Xuchen ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
71', Liu Hao ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
85', Fu Shang ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
90+6', You Wenjie 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Qingdao Red Lions is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Guangxi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guangxi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guangxi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Guangxi will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
04.10.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao Red Lions	7:1 ✺
26.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
05.10.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Kun City	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
31.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0
31.08.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	3:2
14.04.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:3

Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide