Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 15

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Longhua sports center stadium (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen Juniors		Wenzhou Professional

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
				Watch
	1.61	3.32	4.97
	1.62	3.47	5.45	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.62	3.5	5.16
	1.59	3.55	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.81)	3.47 ↑ (3.23)	5.25 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Juniors
56.7%

Draw
26%

Wenzhou Professional
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.1%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Juniors's performance.

Wenzhou Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Shenzhen Juniors - Wenzhou Professional Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shenzhen Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Wenzhou will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Chen Zirong (G) 16. Zhou Xin 33. Liu S. 56. Wang Jiakun 12. Han Guanghui 21. Chen Y. 15. Chen Weiqi 29. Lin Zefeng 17. Hu Ming 18. Shi Yucheng 26. Mai Sijing	37. Jappar Mewlan (G) 2. Wang Tianqing 25. Gao J. 4. Zhao W. 18. Lu Jiabin 17. Zhao S. 15. Ruan Sai 33. Wang Jiaqi 30. Wang Lingke 47. Gao Jingchun 19. Geng Taili
Substitutes
8. Ke Yuan 6. Liang Rifu 23. Li Bin 39. Liu C. 28. Li Yingjian 11. Lu J. 20. Men Yang 27. Sun Xiaobin 41. Wang Shihan (G) 55. Wen Ruijie 59. Wen Y. 10. Xie Baoxian	3. Liu Ruicheng 11. Lyu S. 7. Ma Y. 29. Pang Jiajun (G) 42. Tian Jiarui 36. Wang Jinze 13. Zhang M. 56. Zhang Zhijie 22. Zhan Shuanglei
Coaches
Zhang Jun	Jiang Chen

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Chen Weiqi ⚽, Lin Zefeng (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wang Tianqing ↓, Zhan Shuanglei ↑,
46', Wang Jiaqi ↓, Tian Jiarui ↑,
57', Wang Lingke ↓, Wang Jinze ↑,
63', Mai Sijing ↓, Men Yang ↑,
63', Lin Zefeng ↓, Lu J. ↑,
70', Wang Jiakun ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
70', Chen Weiqi ↓, Li Bin ↑,
77', Zhou Xin ↓, Sun Xiaobin ↑,
78', Gao Jingchun ↓, Lyu S. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Sun Xiaobin ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Lyu S. ⚽, Ruan Sai (A),
90+3', Sun Xiaobin 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', Chen Zirong 🟨,
90+5', Lu J. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Shenzhen Juniors in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jiangxi Dark Horse is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jiangxi Dark Horse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shenzhen Juniors is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shenzhen Juniors to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Yi League
30.06.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Shenzhen Juniors	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Shanghai Port B	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Shenzhen Juniors	1:5 ✺
02.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shenzhen Juniors	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWWW
- Wenzhou Professional
Chinese Yi League
29.06.24	Hunan Billows - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Wenzhou Professional - Quanzhou Yassin	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Wenzhou Professional	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Wenzhou Professional - Kunming City	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Shanghai Port B - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
28.04.24	Wenzhou Professional - Shenzhen Juniors	2:3

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