The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hunan Billows 64.3%
Draw 22.1%
Wenzhou Professional 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
30.4%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
31%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hunan Billows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hunan Billows's performance.
Wenzhou Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wenzhou Professional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (-21.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hunan Billows that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wenzhou Professional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hunan Billows - Wenzhou Professional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Dong Jianhong (G) 19. Liu Xinyu 17. Liao Wei 16. Liu Jing 5. Jiang Zhe 2. Hu Yongfa 32. Wang B. 22. Tursun Qeyser 21. Lu Yuefeng 25. Li Chenguang 45. Lu Y.
37. Jappar Mewlan (G) 22. Zhan Shuanglei 4. Zhao W. 19. Geng Taili 18. Lu Jiabin 7. Ma Y. 15. Ruan Sai 17. Zhao S. 25. Gao J. 30. Wang Lingke 47. Gao Jingchun
Substitutes
1. Bai S. (G) 3. Chen Fangzhou 9. Gao Mingqi 37. Geng Zhiqing 20. Halimurat Kamiran 23. Liao Haochuan 15. Lin Jinghao 56. Liu Guanjun 18. Sun Zewen 46. Wei Z. 51. Yin R. 27. Zu Pengchao
3. Liu Ruicheng 11. Lyu S. 29. Pang Jiajun (G) 42. Tian Jiarui 33. Wang Jiaqi 36. Wang Jinze 2. Wang Tianqing 8. Zhang Z. 56. Zhang Zhijie
Coaches
Teng Renjun
Carlos F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Tursun Qeyser 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wang Lingke ↓, Zhang Z. ↑,
46', Zhan Shuanglei ↓, Wang Tianqing ↑,
46', Liao Wei ↓, Zu Pengchao ↑,
46', Lu Y. ↓, Wei Z. ↑,
52', 🟨,
58', Liu Xinyu ↓, Lin Jinghao ↑,
59', Ma Y. ↓, Wang Jiaqi ↑,
64', Liu Jing 🟨,
68', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Liao Haochuan ↑,
71', Zhang Z. 🟨,
75', Li Chenguang 🟨,
76', Hu Yongfa ↓, Chen Fangzhou ↑,
80', Gao Jingchun ↓, Tian Jiarui ↑,
90+1', Lu Jiabin ↓, Liu Ruicheng ↑,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
Recent matches Hunan Billows is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Jiangxi Dark Horse is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Hunan Billows is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Hunan Billows won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Hunan Billows won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
Watch
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Dong Jianhong (G) 
Carlos F. 
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