Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 14

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Dongxing Sports Center (Dongxing)


	Guangxi Lanhang		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	4.5	1.34
				Watch
	8.66	4.38	1.34
	8.85	4.34	1.34
	7.5	4.5	1.29
	8.15	4.75	1.31
	7.6	4.5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.92 ↑ (3.94)	4.5 ↑ (3.41)	1.33 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Lanhang
11.5%

Draw
20.2%

Shenzhen Juniors
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

26.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

26.1%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Lanhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangxi Lanhang's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Lanhang than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Lanhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangxi Lanhang - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Zhou W. (G) 22. Liao J. 5. Chen S. 18. Zou Q. 20. Jiang Z. 23. Chi Dian 6. Guo Y. 16. Cheng H. 11. An Yongjian 8. Zheng Y. 9. Wang S.	41. Wang Shihan (G) 16. Zhou Xin 33. Liu S. 19. Zheng Zhiming 12. Han Guanghui 21. Chen Y. 6. Liang Rifu 10. Xie Baoxian 17. Hu Ming 29. Lin Zefeng 20. Men Yang
Substitutes
19. Ababekri Imamhesen 42. Huang Xuanzhong (G) 45. Huang Yufei 46. Li-Jing Chengyu 10. Memet-Ali M. 17. Wang Jiahao 1. Wang Xibo (G) 48. Wei Minghe 44. Xia Zhengrong 7. Xi Zhenyun 13. Zhang J. 43. Zheng Y.	34. Chen J. 15. Chen Weiqi 31. Chen Zirong (G) 23. Li Bin 39. Liu C. 28. Li Yingjian 24. Li Yuyang 11. Lu J. 55. Wen Ruijie 9. Zhuang Jiajie
Coaches
Gong Lei	Zhang Jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Guo Y. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Chen Y. ⚽, Hu Ming (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chi Dian ↓, Xi Zhenyun ↑,
46', Wang S. ↓, Memet-Ali M. ↑,
47', Han Guanghui 🟨,
54', Liang Rifu ↓, Lu J. ↑,
54', Lin Zefeng ↓, Zhuang Jiajie ↑,
78', Zheng Zhiming ↓, Li Yingjian ↑,
78', Xie Baoxian ↓, Li Bin ↑,
78', Zheng Y. ↓, Xia Zhengrong ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Guo Y. ⚽, Cheng H. (A),
83', Hu Ming ↓, Chen Weiqi ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Lanhang
Chinese Yi League
22.06.24	Shanghai Port B - Guangxi Lanhang	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Kunming City	2:2 ✺
08.06.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Lanhang	4:1 ✺
01.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangxi Lanhang	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTLTW
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Yi League
23.06.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Shanghai Port B	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Shenzhen Juniors	1:5 ✺
02.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shenzhen Juniors	0:3 ✺
25.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Hunan Billows	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
16.04.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Lanhang	1:0

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