Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Zimbru (Chişinău)

Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sheriff Tiraspol		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.7
	5.5	3.7	1.65
	6	3.6	1.67
	5.4	3.55	1.7
	5.45	3.69	1.72
	5.8	3.5	1.67
	5.9	3.82	1.75
	5.6	3.6	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↓ (5.94)	3.63 ↓ (4.11)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheriff Tiraspol
17%

Draw
26.4%

Real Sociedad
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

23%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

24.7%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheriff Tiraspol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.6%	18.6%	48.8%

Sheriff Tiraspol - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Sheriff will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 21 - 48.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 33.9% – 63.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Sheriff has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (4%), has a small chance of 2nd (13%), has a good chance of 3rd (78%), has a small chance of round of 16 (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Real Sociedad has currently - 6, has a good chance of 1st (68%), has a chance of 2nd (26%), has a small chance of 3rd (6%), has a good chance of round of 16 (79%), has a chance of qtrs (40%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has quality 62, importance 50, match rating 56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Sheriff have a series of home games.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Gorosabel A. (Ankle Injury) Le Normand R. (Injury) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Sadiq U. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
02.10.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Sfîntul Gheorghe Suruceni	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Zimbru Chişinău	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
11.09.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Omonia - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLWW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
02.10.22	Girona - Real Sociedad	3:5 ✺
18.09.22	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Real Sociedad - Omonia	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.09.22	Getafe - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWLW

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