Match Info

LaLiga - Round 36

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Girona		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.55	Watch
	1.99	3.83	3.84
	1.99	3.61	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	2.01	3.81	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.27)	3.69 ↑ (3.61)	3.67 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
48.2%

Draw
25.8%

Real Sociedad
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

25.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Girona's performance.

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Girona - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 35 - 62.5%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 7 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 49.8% – 75.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Real Sociedad (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Girona (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Girona (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Girona will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. (C) 16. Frances A. 12. Vitor Reis 24. Moreno A. 23. Martin I. 20. Witsel A. 18. Ounahi A. 21. Gil B. 15. Tsygankov V. 3. Roca J.	1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S. 14. Kubo T. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 12. Herrera Y. 7. Barrenetxea A. 24. Sucic L. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
36. Artero R. 8. Beltran F. 1. Blanco R. (G) 17. Blind D. 14. Echeverri C. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 11. Lemar T. 5. Lopez D. 2. Rincon H. 7. Stuani C.	42. Carrera G. 6. Elustondo A. 19. Karrikaburu J. 15. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 23. Mendez B. 3. Munoz A. 18. Soler C. 8. Turrientes B. 22. Wesley 21. Zakharyan A. 5. Zubeldia I.
Coaches
Michel	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Martin J. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
34', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gil B. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
53', Aramburu J. 🟨,
57', Kubo T. ↓, Carrera G. ↑,
57', Gorrotxategi J. ↓, Soler C. ↑,
57', Witsel A. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
57', Martin I. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
59', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
62', Frances A. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Stuani C. ⚽, Martinez A. (A),
73', Gomez S. 🟨,
76', Roca J. 🟨,
80', Tsygankov V. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
82', Caleta-Car D. 🟨,
87', Herrera Y. ↓, Zubeldia I. ↑,
87', Aramburu J. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
88', Carrera G. 🟨,
90', Turrientes B. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

Real Sociedad is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1.

Girona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Real Sociedad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Girona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Girona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Girona: Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) Vanat V. (Injury) ter Stegen M. (Hamstring Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Guedes G. (Toe Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Oskarsson O. (Yellow Cards) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
11.05.26	Rayo Vallecano - Girona	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Girona - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Valencia - Girona	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Girona - Betis	2:3 ✺
10.04.26	Real Madrid - Girona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLLT
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
09.05.26	Real Sociedad - Betis	2:2 ✺
04.05.26	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	3:3 ✺
22.04.26	Real Sociedad - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.12.25	Real Sociedad - Girona	1:2
18.05.25	Real Sociedad - Girona	3:2
19.10.24	Girona - Real Sociedad	0:1
03.02.24	Girona - Real Sociedad	0:0
12.08.23	Real Sociedad - Girona	1:1
13.05.23	Real Sociedad - Girona	2:2
02.10.22	Girona - Real Sociedad	3:5

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