Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester United		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4.1
	1.9	3.3	4.33
	1.98	3.5	4	Watch
	1.98	3.42	4.3
	1.91	3.42	4.29	Watch
	2	3.2	4
	1.94	3.46	4.4
	1.98	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)	4.18 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
48.9%

Draw
28.1%

Real Sociedad
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

29.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.9%	20.8%	15.3%

Manchester United - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 45 - 63.4%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 11 - 15.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 52.2% – 74.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 4. de Ligt M. 26. Heaven A. 20. Dalot D. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 11. Zirkzee J. 9. Hojlund R. 17. Garnacho A.	1. Remiro A. (G) 6. Elustondo A. 5. Zubeldia I. 21. Aguerd N. 3. Munoz A. 28. Marin P. 4. Zubimendi M. 23. Mendez B. 11. Becker S. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 14. Kubo T.
Substitutes
41. Amass H. 43. Collyer T. 14. Eriksen C. 57. Fletcher J. 55. Fredricson T. 50. Harrison E. (G) 2. Lindelof V. 45. Mee D. (G) 63. Scanlon J. 25. Ugarte M.	19. Aramburu J. 7. Barrenetxea A. 37. Beitia L. 17. Gomez S. 12. Lopez J. 40. Mariezkurrena A. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 9. Oskarsson O. 18. Traore H. 22. Turrientes B.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', de Ligt M. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Oyarzabal M. (Pen),
13', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Fernandes B. (Pen),
39', Marin P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Fernandes B. (Pen),
51', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
56', Zubeldia I. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
56', Becker S. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
56', Marin P. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
63', Aramburu J. 🟥,
64', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
69', Elustondo A. 🟨,
74', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
76', Kubo T. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
78', Casemiro ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
80', Elustondo A. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Fernandes B. ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
88', Zirkzee J. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
90', Aguerd N. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 1, Dalot D. ⚽, Hojlund R. (A),
90+4', Collyer T. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 2.

Recent matches Man Utd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Real Sociedad have a series of home games.

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Bayindir A. (Injury) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Evans J. (Muscle Injury) Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury) Mainoo K. (Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mount M. (Thigh Injury) Obi C. (Inactive) Shaw L. (Calf Injury) Yoro L. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Sucic L. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
09.03.25	Manchester United - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.03.25	Manchester United - Fulham	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Everton - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLWT
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
09.03.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.25	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
26.02.25	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.25	Real Sociedad - Leganés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	1:1
03.11.22	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	0:1
08.09.22	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	0:1
25.02.21	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	0:0
18.02.21	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	0:4
UEFA Champions League
05.11.13	Real Sociedad - Manchester United	0:0
23.10.13	Manchester United - Real Sociedad	1:0

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