Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sheriff Tiraspol		Servette

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.8
	2.6	3.2	2.8
	2.7	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.71	3.2	2.9
	2.71	3.14	2.9
	2.5	3.2	2.88
	2.58	3.26	2.86
	2.65	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.26)	3.21 ↓ (3.37)	2.84 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheriff Tiraspol
36.4%

Draw
29.9%

Servette
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheriff Tiraspol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sheriff Tiraspol's form might have worsened.

Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheriff Tiraspol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	26.9%	26.9%

Sheriff Tiraspol - Servette Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Sheriff will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Servette will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheriff: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Koval M. (G) 20. Zohouri A. 23. Tovar C. 15. Kiki G. 28. Artunduaga A. 10. Badolo C. 14. Talal A. 8. Joao Paulo 90. Luvannor 11. Ricardinho (C) 30. Ankeye D.	32. Frick J. (C) 77. Bolla B. 33. Vouilloz N. 19. Severin Y. 18. Mazikou B. 9. Stevanovic M. 28. Douline D. 5. Ondoua G. 10. Antunes A. 27. Crivelli E. 21. Guillemenot J.
Substitutes
16. Apostolakis K. 29. Colis V. 4. Garananga M. 17. Ngom Mbekeli J. 32. Novicov R. 33. Pascenco S. (G) 1. Straistari V. (G) 22. Vardar B.	40. Aubert M. (G) 29. Bedia C. 8. Cognat T. 30. Diba S. 17. Kutesa D. 20. Magnin T. 1. Mall J. (G) 31. Ouattara T. 4. Rouiller S. 3. Tsunemoto K.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.	Weiler R.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Sheriff: Akanbi R. (Injury) Ouattara A. (Leg Injury) Vinicius Paiva (Injury)

There will not play in Servette: Lyng A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sheriff: Kyabou M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Servette: Baron A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
21.10.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - Sparta Selemet	4:0 ✺
08.10.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Slavia Prague - Sheriff Tiraspol	6:0 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
30.09.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - Bălți	4:0 ✺
24.09.23	Zimbru Chişinău - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLWW
- Servette FC
Swiss Super League
21.10.23	Basel - Servette	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Lugano - Servette	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Roma - Servette	4:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
30.09.23	Servette - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
27.09.23	Servette - Winterthur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWT

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