The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sheriff Tiraspol 23.1%
Draw 29.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.4%
26.1%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
16.8%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sheriff Tiraspol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtar Donetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheriff Tiraspol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7%
7%
86%
Sheriff Tiraspol - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
Shakhtar Donetsk will win
(271 of 315 users predict this - 86.03%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.2% โ 89.86%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Sheriff has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (2%), has a chance of 3rd (16%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Shakhtar has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (7%), has a chance of 2nd (20%), has a good chance of 3rd (57%), has a chance of round of 16 (27%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sheriff in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Shakhtar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.