Match Info

Date: 17 August 2021, Tuesday


	Monaco		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5
	1.62	3.75	5.5
	1.67	3.95	5.35
	1.66	3.8	4.7
	1.7	3.9	5.36
	1.62	3.7	4.8
	1.74	4.05	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.85 ↓ (3.92)	5.18 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
57%

Draw
24.7%

Shakhtar Donetsk
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

15.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	10.8%	15.1%

Monaco - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 139 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 103 - 74.1%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 21 - 15.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 66.8% – 81.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Monaco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shakhtar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Monaco is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
13.08.21	Lorient - Monaco	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.08.21	Monaco - Sparta Prague	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.08.21	Monaco - Nantes	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.08.21	Sparta Prague - Monaco	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Real Sociedad - Monaco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTWL
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
13.08.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.08.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Genk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
07.08.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Oleksandriya	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.08.21	Genk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
30.07.21	Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

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