Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Chornomorets (Odesa)

Referee: Blavatsky R. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chornomorets Odesa		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	15.5	7.25	1.16
	15	6.8	1.17
	13	6.96	1.18
	13.96	6.79	1.18	Watch
	17	6.5	1.17
	15.6	6.23	1.18	Watch
	15	6.8	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.01 ↑ (11)	6.76 ↓ (7.2)	1.17 ↓ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
6.2%

Draw
13.9%

Shakhtar Donetsk
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.5%

13%

78.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chornomorets Odesa - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudko A. (G) 77. Kysil Y. 24. Jarju M. 3. Yermakov V. 44. Rakitskyi Y. 2. Butko B. (C) 34. Latsabidze L. 16. Biloshevskyi B. 14. Sigeev K. 9. Khoblenko O. 95. Mustafaev E.	23. Fesyun K. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. (C) 18. Ghram A. 16. Azarovi I. 8. Kryskiv D. 21. Bondarenko A. 6. Marlon Gomes 38. Pedrinho 19. Kaua Elias 39. Newerton
Substitutes
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 22. Arsic V. 21. Bezborodko D. 28. Gabelok A. 88. Panchyshyn B. 33. Pshenychnyuk O. 18. Robakidze G. 66. Ryan Carlos 90. Shevtsov I. 7. Toirov K. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 17. Yanakov D.	30. Alisson 7. Eguinaldo 74. Faryna M. 13. Henrique P. 29. Nazaryna Y. 12. Puzankov T. (G) 9. Shved M. 2. Traore L. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
Coaches
Kucher O.	Pusic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Latsabidze L. ↓, Shevtsov I. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Bondarenko A. ⚽,
56', Bondarenko A. 🟨,
57', Azarovi I. 🟨,
65', Biloshevskyi B. 🟨,
70', Rakitskyi Y. ↓, Bezborodko D. ↑,
70', Sigeev K. ↓, Gabelok A. ↑,
70', Azarovi I. ↓, Henrique P. ↑,
70', Kaua Elias ↓, Eguinaldo ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Newerton ⚽,
75', 0 - 3, Newerton ⚽, Bondarenko A. (A),
76', Marlon Gomes ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
76', Pedrinho ↓, Alisson ↑,
76', Kysil Y. ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
77', Mustafaev E. ↓, Yanakov D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 0.

Chornomorets is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shakhtar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chornomorets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shakhtar is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Chornomorets: Prysyazhnyuk A. (Knee Injury) Skyba Y. (Yellow Cards) Sporn J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 10:52. (average 0.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chornomorets won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:23. (average 0.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
26.04.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Veres Rivne - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Chornomorets Odesa - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
27.04.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	2:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.04.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ET ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
19.04.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:4 ✺
16.04.25	Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
02.11.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1
05.05.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	3:0
01.05.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:4
Ukrainian Cup
03.04.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	4:1
Ukrainian Premier League
02.04.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2
10.09.22	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1
Ukrainian Cup
27.10.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3

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