Match Info

Jia League - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.5	3.75	5.8	Watch
	1.56	3.9	7.46
	1.54	3.81	6.48	Watch
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.57	3.66	6.28	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.52)	3.74 ↑ (3.73)	6.22 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
60.5%

Draw
24.7%

Qingdao Red Lions
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24.6%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

23.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Shijiazhuang Gongfu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lin Xiang (G) 4. Pan Kui 36. Yang Yun 19. Liu H. (C) 14. Ma Chongchong 27. Gao Huaze 33. Dankler 6. Chen Zhexuan 8. Ayovi J. 9. Olavio 2. Deng Jiajie	18. Li Ya'nan (G) 33. Shi Zhe 16. Zhang Yixuan 11. Sun Xipeng 23. Zhang Liang 7. Nobrega J. 20. Nie Aoshuang 8. Jia Xiaochen 37. Chen Hao-Wei 9. Rivaldinho 10. Leandro Alves
Substitutes
20. Liu Le 7. Liu Ziming 31. Luan Yi (G) 1. Nie Xuran (G) 23. Ouyang Bang 29. Wang Jingbin 35. Yang Zhaohui 24. Yu Joy-yin 21. Zhan Sainan 34. Zhao Yubo 45. Zhao Z. 11. Zhu Haiwei	22. Iskandar B. 5. Liu Pujin 29. Liu Xiaoqi 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 13. Tao Yuan 44. Wu Junhao 35. Zhang Shuai 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)
Coaches
Zhang Hui	Ma Yongkang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Chen Hao-Wei ⚽,
41', Zhang Yixuan 🟨,
45', Liu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gao Huaze ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
46', Chen Zhexuan ↓, Yu Joy-yin ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Nobrega J. ⚽, Chen Hao-Wei (A),
67', Olavio ↓, Liu Ziming ↑,
67', Lin Xiang ↓, Luan Yi ↑,
68', Deng Jiajie ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
70', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Zhang Shuai ↑,
72', Zhang Liang 🟨,
78', Shi Zhe ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
78', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Wu Junhao ↑,
90+3', Zhang Liang ↓, Zheng Haokun ↑,
90+3', Leandro Alves ↓, Zhou Jianyi ↑,
90+6', Nobrega J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Qingdao Red Lions has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Shijiazhuang Gongfu is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
10.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:4 ✺
04.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.25	Taian Tiankuang - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTW
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
11.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren	1:3 ✺
22.04.25	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
18.08.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1
31.03.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0

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