Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Tom Tomsk		Fakel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.73
	4	3.15	1.79
	4.4	3.35	1.68
	5.41	3.63	1.7
	4.8	3.3	1.7
	4.85	3.66	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.32)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Tomsk
19.7%

Draw
26.9%

Fakel
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

27.2%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

21.3%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Tomsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Tomsk than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tom Tomsk - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Fakel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fakel is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tom won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tom won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Tomsk
Russian FNL
31.10.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tom Tomsk	4:0 ✺
23.10.21	Tom Tomsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Tom Tomsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
13.10.21	Tom Tomsk - Olimp Dolgoprudny	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Tom Tomsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWTT
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
31.10.21	Veles Moscow - Fakel	0:4 ✺
Russian Cup
27.10.21	Fakel - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
23.10.21	Fakel - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:2 ✺
17.10.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Fakel	0:2 ✺
13.10.21	Fakel - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.07.21	Fakel - Tom Tomsk	2:0
20.03.21	Tom Tomsk - Fakel	0:3
23.09.20	Fakel - Tom Tomsk	0:0
05.10.19	Fakel - Tom Tomsk	0:0
25.05.19	Fakel - Tom Tomsk	0:0
17.07.18	Tom Tomsk - Fakel	2:0
02.05.18	Fakel - Tom Tomsk	0:1

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